Jerome Ford Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Jerome Ford MLB projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles on Oct 13, 2024

Jerome Ford Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 130
• Receptions 3.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Jerome Ford's receiving performance has gotten better this year, totaling 4.0 adjusted receptions vs a mere 2.6 last year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

Since the start of last season, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a mere 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.

The Eagles defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection For Jerome Ford Receptions Prop Bet

Jerome Ford is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.

Jerome Ford Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 39.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 39.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).

Jerome Ford's ground efficiency has been refined this season, notching 4.78 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.62 rate last season.

This year, the deficient Eagles run defense has yielded a staggering 133.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-most in the NFL.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to run on 41.0% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Jerome Ford has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 67.7% of snaps compared to just 52.0% last year.

Projection For Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Jerome Ford is projected to have 43.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Jerome Ford Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 10.5 over: -128
• Carries 10.5 under: -102

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to run on 41.0% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Jerome Ford has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 67.7% of snaps compared to just 52.0% last year.

Projection For Jerome Ford Carries Prop Bet

Jerome Ford is projected to have 10 Carries in this weeks game.

Jerome Ford Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 19.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

As it relates to air yards, Jerome Ford ranks in just the 16th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

Jerome Ford's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 3.59 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.10 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a mere 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.

The Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, giving up 5.32 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jerome Ford is projected to have 20.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.