Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos

Nov 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens
  • Overview
  • Props

Javonte Williams Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Javonte Williams MLB projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos on Oct 13, 2024

Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 13.5 over: -102
  • Carries 13.5 under: -128

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

This week, Javonte Williams is projected by the model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.9 rush attempts.

Javonte Williams has been given 44.4% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

Projection For Javonte Williams Carries Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 12.7 Carries in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -154
  • Receptions 2.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Javonte Williams has run more routes this season (46.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.4%).

The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to total 4.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

With an exceptional 3.4 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams places as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Javonte Williams Receptions Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 45.5 over: -145
  • Rushing Yards 45.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

This week, Javonte Williams is projected by the model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.9 rush attempts.

Javonte Williams has been given 44.4% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Javonte Williams has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Javonte Williams's rushing effectiveness (3.70 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (25th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 94.0 per game) versus the Chargers defense this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

Projection For Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 50.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -117
  • Receiving Yards 19.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams has run more routes this season (46.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.4%).

The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to total 4.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Javonte Williams has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

Javonte Williams's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a remarkable growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.3 figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

The Chargers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against RBs this year, conceding 3.73 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 20.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
10
11
10
11
10
11
Consensus
-145
+108
-102
-135
-138
+107
-103
-139
+100
+105
-130
-130
-135
+100
+105
-135
-130
+116
-102
-152
-128
+108
+100
-140
-140
+100
+105
-125
+100
+105
+110
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7000
+8000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+950
-
+950
Consensus
-231
+171
-251
+166
Consensus
-
+420
-
+450
Consensus
-
+600
-
+600
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+390
-
+390
-
+850
-
+900
-
+180
-
+190
-
+420
-
+410
-
+650
-
+600
-
+650
-
+650
-
+950
-
+950
-
+400
-
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
13
14
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
57
62
63
13
12
14
57
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
62
63
12
13
14
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
57
62
63
13
12
14
57
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
62
63
Consensus
-118
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-114
-114
-119
-116
-116
-
-116
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-114
-119
-116
-114
-116
-116
-
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-118
-119
-117
-116
-116
-
-116
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-113
-117
-117
-
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-121
-117
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-121
-121
-117
-121
-121
-117
-121
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-113
-
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-115
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-115
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Consensus
-180
+109
-163
+132
-183
+123
-144
+134
-184
+102
-157
+133
-169
+114
-184
+136
-185
+125
-175
+140
-175
+125
-175
+140
-156
-
-
+134
-156
-
-
+120
-165
+115
-185
+135
-175
+125
-140
+135
-160
+115
-170
+115
-160
+130
-160
+120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
17
21
20
19
23
18
22
1
21
18
19
22
20
17
23
1
17
21
20
19
23
18
22
1
21
18
19
22
20
17
23
Consensus
+124
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-162
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+126
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-168
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-119
-
-108
-111
-
-116
-120
-
-
-113
-115
-107
-115
-110
-
-
-121
-
-115
-116
-
-114
-120
-
-
-113
-119
-109
-110
-111
-
-
-123
-127
-127
-113
-135
-113
-127
-
-108
-111
-121
-108
-108
-111
-101
-
-123
-127
-127
-137
-135
-123
-127
-
-108
-121
-121
-108
-108
-111
-101
-
-120
-125
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-105
-120
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-
-120
-125
-120
-115
-
-120
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-120
-110
-
+132
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-160
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+126
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-164
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-114
-113
-
-
-114
-114
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-110
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-113
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-115
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-110
-110
-120
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
10
11
10
12
12
11
10
11
10
12
Consensus
-103
-113
-127
-116
-103
-125
-118
-106
-128
-124
-106
-111
-106
-115
-127
-129
-108
-129
-106
-106
-129
-104
-106
-129
-108
-115
-
-114
-
-118
-110
-118
-
-114
-
-122
-105
-110
-130
-130
-105
-130
+100
-110
-125
-105
-105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1237
+1190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+390
+370
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
8
37
36
38
39
35
34
33
41
9
8
39
36
35
34
38
37
33
41
9
8
37
36
38
39
35
34
33
41
9
8
39
36
35
34
38
37
33
41
Consensus
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-110
-119
-110
-106
-117
-107
-
-
-
-
-118
-109
-112
-119
-119
-118
-
-
-
-
-112
-120
-111
-108
-117
-111
-
-
-
-
-117
-109
-112
-122
-118
-115
-
-
-
-
-103
-117
-113
-115
-135
-113
-
-
-
-
-135
-101
-101
-135
-115
-135
-
-
-
-
-113
-135
-113
-101
-135
-101
-
-
-
-
-135
-117
-101
-101
-121
-121
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-110
-105
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-110
-110
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-105
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-105
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
11
11
11
Consensus
-125
-119
-128
-105
-120
-110
-120
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-125
+100
-125
+100