J.K. Dobbins projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals on Oct 21, 2024
J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
This week, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the model to place in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
With an exceptional 11.0% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.
With a fantastic 92.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the best possession receivers in football among running backs.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded a staggering 89.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the largest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection For J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 18.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -105
- Receptions 2.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
This week, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the model to place in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
With an exceptional 11.0% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.
With a fantastic 92.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the best possession receivers in football among running backs.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded a staggering 89.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the largest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection For J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop Bet
J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: -138
- Carries 17.5 under: 106
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this game, J.K. Dobbins is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 95th percentile among RBs with 17.5 carries.
J.K. Dobbins has earned 57.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's group of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection For J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop Bet
J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 16.2 Carries in this weeks game.
J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 77.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 77.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this game, J.K. Dobbins is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 95th percentile among RBs with 17.5 carries.
J.K. Dobbins has earned 57.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has averaged 85.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (95th percentile).
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (155 per game) against the Cardinals defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's group of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection For J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop Bet
J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 67.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
