Hunter Henry projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -167
- Receptions 2.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
This week, Hunter Henry is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.
Hunter Henry's 42.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 33.2.
With a remarkable 3.2 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry ranks among the top tight ends in the pass game in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
This year, the tough Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-best rate in the league.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receptions Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 30.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 30.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
This week, Hunter Henry is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.
In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a massive 40.0 per game.
Hunter Henry has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
This year, the tough Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-best rate in the league.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 28.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
