Evan Engram projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Evan Engram Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -165
- Receptions 4.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The model projects Evan Engram to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a top-tier 23.9% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Evan Engram profiles as one of the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 6.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Evan Engram's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.3% to 76.5%.
The Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.2%) vs. tight ends this year (66.2%).
Projection For Evan Engram Receptions Prop Bet
Evan Engram is projected to have 5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Evan Engram Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -150
- Receiving Yards 44.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The model projects Evan Engram to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a top-tier 23.9% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
Evan Engram has totaled a massive 40.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among TEs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Evan Engram's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.3% to 76.5%.
The Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.2%) vs. tight ends this year (66.2%).
Projection For Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Evan Engram is projected to have 43.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
