Drake Maye projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots on Nov 17, 2024
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 165
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -225
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
The Patriots have been the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% red zone pass rate.
This year, the feeble Los Angeles Rams defense has been gouged for a massive 1.78 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-largest rate in the league.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 27.6 per game) this year.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (67.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Projection For Drake Maye Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 207.5 over: -115
- Passing Yards 207.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, allowing 8.62 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in football.
This year, the shaky Rams defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a whopping 6.09 YAC.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 27.6 per game) this year.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
Projection For Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 182.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 25.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 25.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
This year, the porous Rams run defense has conceded a whopping 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-largest rate in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Drake Maye Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 31.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
