Drake Maye projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 over: -245
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 under: 195
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest rate in football vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (76.0% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the porous Jaguars defense has surrendered a staggering 2.33 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 53.2% red zone pass rate.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Drake Maye Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 0.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -120
- Pass Attempts 30.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
Projection For Drake Maye Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 28 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -155
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have intercepted 0.13 balls per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL by this stat
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Drake Maye Interceptions Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 24.5 over: -140
- Rushing Yards 24.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
Projection For Drake Maye Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 25.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -114
- Completions 19.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest rate in football vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (76.0% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Drake Maye Completions Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 16.8 Completions in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 5.5 over: 115
- Carries 5.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
Projection For Drake Maye Carries Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 5.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Drake Maye Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 200.5 over: -133
- Passing Yards 200.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
This year, the porous Jaguars defense has yielded a staggering 298.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the most in football.
The Jaguars pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop Bet
Drake Maye is projected to have 170.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
