Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Devon Achane Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Devon Achane projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024

Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -130
  • Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -100

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Devon Achane to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Devon Achane's 16.9% Target Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his passing offense workload over last year's 11.5% rate.

Devon Achane has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

In regards to air yards, Devon Achane grades out in the paltry 12th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.

Projection For Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 39.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: -114
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Devon Achane to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Devon Achane's 16.9% Target Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his passing offense workload over last year's 11.5% rate.

Devon Achane's receiving skills have improved this season, compiling 4.7 adjusted catches compared to just 2.5 last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Devon Achane Receptions Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 12.5 over: -103
  • Carries 12.5 under: -127

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

At the present time, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Devon Achane has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, playing on 56.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last year.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DEs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the league.

Projection For Devon Achane Carries Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 9.7 Carries in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -115
  • Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Devon Achane has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, playing on 56.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last year.

Devon Achane has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Devon Achane's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a substantial reduction in his rushing proficiency over last season's 7.3 mark.

This year, the shaky Rams run defense has yielded a whopping 4.54 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 24th-highest rate in the league.

Projection For Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 49.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
4
3
36
37
39
34
41
38
35
33
40
32
30
31
2
3
4
36
37
41
35
40
39
33
31
34
38
32
30
2
4
3
36
37
39
34
41
38
35
33
40
32
30
31
2
3
4
36
37
41
35
40
39
33
31
34
38
32
30
Consensus
-118
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-112
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-115
-121
-120
-113
-113
-128
-143
-125
-121
-121
-123
-
-
-
-
-113
-117
-112
-112
-116
-110
-103
-
-108
-108
-107
-105
-
-
-
-123
-123
-124
-118
-114
-128
-116
-136
-121
-121
-123
-
-
-
-
-112
-108
-116
+113
-112
-112
-116
-
-109
-108
-107
-105
-
-
-
-123
-129
-133
-121
-
-133
-123
-121
-123
-129
-129
-
-
-
-
-117
-106
-
-111
-103
-103
-109
-
-111
-103
-106
-106
-
-
-
-117
-133
-127
-123
-
-131
-117
-142
-121
-129
-129
-
-
-
-
-111
-108
-
-108
-108
-108
+104
-
-113
-101
-106
-106
-
-
-
-130
-125
-135
-120
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-125
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
+100
-110
-105
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-130
-125
-120
-125
-120
-120
-120
-120
-
-125
-
-
-
-110
-105
-110
-115
-110
-105
-110
-105
-110
-105
-110
-
-114
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-112
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-110
-114
-113
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-113
-114
-
-113
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-114
-110
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-114
-
-113
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-120
-150
-135
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-120
-
+100
+110
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-115
-115
-110
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-
+115
-
-115
-115
-
+100
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+420
-
+410
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+240
-
+240
Consensus
-
+700
-
+650
Consensus
-
+410
-
+450
Consensus
-143
+118
-150
+111
Consensus
-
+240
-
+240
-
+420
-
+420
-
+550
-
+600
-
+240
-
+240
-
+650
-
+650
-
+430
-
+440
-
+110
-
+100
-
+230
-
+250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
20
18
87
90
88
89
93
92
91
86
83
94
95
96
20
18
19
88
90
86
87
89
94
92
83
91
93
96
95
19
20
18
87
90
88
89
93
92
91
86
83
94
95
96
20
18
19
88
90
86
87
89
94
92
83
91
93
96
95
Consensus
-118
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-119
-117
-121
-121
-119
-119
-117
-115
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-115
-112
-115
-
-114
-115
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-119
-118
-117
-121
-121
-121
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-114
-114
-115
-112
-
-113
-115
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-127
-121
-127
-131
-133
-127
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-113
-115
-113
-
-106
-115
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-127
-119
-119
-127
-129
-125
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-115
-113
-115
-
-108
-115
-109
-104
-
-
-115
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-113
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-114
-114
-
-
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-113
-
-114
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-120
-110
-120
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
49
51
50
48
47
56
52
53
11
12
49
48
50
51
56
47
53
52
11
12
49
51
50
48
47
56
52
53
11
12
49
48
50
51
56
47
53
52
11
12
Consensus
-112
-114
-113
-119
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-112
-112
-110
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-114
-112
-116
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-112
-114
-111
-
-111
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-117
-117
-125
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-109
-109
-117
-
-109
-
-
-
-
-117
-125
-117
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-104
-108
-109
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-125
-125
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-113
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-110
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-110
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-108
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-125
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+675
+693
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
Consensus
-137
-171
-147
+131
+101
-166
-129
+129
-129
-179
+114
+126
-142
-157
-163
+129
+125
-175
-155
+125
-145
-170
-120
+120
-102
-
-140
-
-128
-
-120
-
-105
-165
-175
+125
+120
-160
-105
+125
+110
-
-145
-
+105
-
-145
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
-120
-115
-117
-109
-115
-110
-110
-115
-114
-106
-114
-106
-110
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1400
+2900
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
Consensus
-104
-124
-
-130
+107
-
-104
-140
-
-117
+105
-
-115
-130
-
-120
+100
-
+105
-135
-
-125
+110
-
-102
-
+102
-114
-
-132
-114
-
+102
-128
-
-132
+100
-145
-
-110
+105
-
-125
-145
-
-145
+100
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
15
16
17
15
16
17
15
16
17
15
Consensus
-122
-107
-122
-110
-125
-122
-109
-109
-123
-109
-123
-105
-113
-111
-125
-121
-123
-109
-121
-109
-108
-127
-125
-108
-120
-110
-125
-120
-125
-105
-115
-105
-125
-115
-125
-105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+18000
+18000
+18000
+18000