Devon Achane projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The projections expect Devon Achane to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Devon Achane's 16.9% Target Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his passing offense workload over last year's 11.5% rate.
Devon Achane has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
In regards to air yards, Devon Achane grades out in the paltry 12th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Projection For Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 39.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -114
- Receptions 5.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The projections expect Devon Achane to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Devon Achane's 16.9% Target Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his passing offense workload over last year's 11.5% rate.
Devon Achane's receiving skills have improved this season, compiling 4.7 adjusted catches compared to just 2.5 last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Devon Achane Receptions Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -103
- Carries 12.5 under: -127
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
At the present time, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Devon Achane has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, playing on 56.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DEs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the league.
Projection For Devon Achane Carries Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 9.7 Carries in this weeks game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -115
- Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Devon Achane has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, playing on 56.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last year.
Devon Achane has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).
Devon Achane's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a substantial reduction in his rushing proficiency over last season's 7.3 mark.
This year, the shaky Rams run defense has yielded a whopping 4.54 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 24th-highest rate in the league.
Projection For Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 49.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
