Derrick Henry projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 21, 2024
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: -130
- Carries 18.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Derrick Henry is predicted by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile among running backs with 18.1 rush attempts.
Derrick Henry has received 57.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Projection For Derrick Henry Carries Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 16.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: 150
- Receptions 1.5 under: -200
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
The Buccaneers linebackers profile as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Derrick Henry has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 54.3% of snaps compared to just 43.5% last season.
Derrick Henry's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 90.7% to 87.7%.
Projection For Derrick Henry Receptions Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 1.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 84.5 over: -129
- Rushing Yards 84.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Derrick Henry is predicted by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile among running backs with 18.1 rush attempts.
Derrick Henry has received 57.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry's 122.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a remarkable boost in his running proficiency over last year's 68.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Projection For Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 72.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 6.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 6.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
Derrick Henry's receiving efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 7.42 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.39 rate last year.
With an outstanding 9.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the league in space.
This year, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a staggering 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Derrick Henry has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 54.3% of snaps compared to just 43.5% last season.
Derrick Henry has notched a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.
Projection For Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 8.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
