New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
  • Overview
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Demario Douglas Projections & Prop Bets

Demario Douglas projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024

Demario Douglas Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 47.5 over: -145
  • Receiving Yards 47.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

Demario Douglas's 75.3% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his passing attack usage over last year's 59.2% figure.

Demario Douglas's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 79.0%.

This year, the porous Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been gouged for a monstrous 189.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

Demario Douglas has posted far fewer air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Demario Douglas's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this year, averaging a measly 4.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.39 rate last year.

Projection For Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Demario Douglas is projected to have 43.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Demario Douglas Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: -130
  • Receptions 4.5 under: -100

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

Demario Douglas's 75.3% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his passing attack usage over last year's 59.2% figure.

Demario Douglas's receiving skills have improved this season, averaging 4.9 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.5 last season.

Demario Douglas's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 79.0%.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection For Demario Douglas Receptions Prop Bet

Demario Douglas is projected to have 4 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4375
+4175
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
18
19
17
18
19
17
18
19
17
18
19
Consensus
-112
-108
-
-112
-125
-
-114
-111
-
-113
-118
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-113
-113
-110
-113
-114
-118
-114
-113
-110
-120
-118
-118
-125
-105
-
-110
-125
-
-120
-110
-
-110
-125
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+850
-
+750
Consensus
-
+1600
-
+1800
Consensus
-775
+451
-765
+449
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+1400
-
+1700
Consensus
-
+700
-
+700
-
+1200
-
+1100
-
+700
-
+800
-
+1800
-
+1700
-
+420
-
+400
-
+1300
-
+1300
-
+1900
-
+1500
-
+750
-
+800
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+350
+420
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
35
36
34
35
34
36
35
36
34
35
34
36
Consensus
-116
-120
-115
-110
-116
-115
-120
-114
-115
-115
-115
-119
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-110
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-120
-110
-115
-120
-115
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+130
+130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
+101
-144
+119
-162
+106
-157
+116
-160
+115
-150
+125
-150
+112
-132
+102
-152
+115
-160
+105
-165
-105
-140
-105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
34
36
39
33
35
32
5
6
34
33
36
35
39
32
5
6
34
36
39
33
35
32
5
6
34
33
36
35
39
32
Consensus
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-118
-
-
-116
-119
-
-
-
-109
-112
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-116
-
-
-109
-120
-
-
-
-111
-117
-
-109
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-125
-127
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-
-125
-123
-
-
-
-117
-109
-
-104
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-115
-125
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-115
-125
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-105
-
-
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-
-115
-120
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-120
-115
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4000
+4500

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