D'Andre Swift projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Chicago Bears on Nov 10, 2024
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.
D'Andre Swift has run a route on 53.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.
The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
D'Andre Swift has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bears are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
D'Andre Swift has notched a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile among RBs.
The Patriots defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus RBs this year.
This year, the daunting Patriots pass defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a puny 4.7 YAC.
Projection For D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 19.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -114
- Receptions 2.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.
D'Andre Swift has run a route on 53.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.
The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With an outstanding 3.1 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the top pass-game RBs in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Bears are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This year, the imposing Patriots defense has given up a meager 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
Projection For D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 71.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 71.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Bears are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to run on 45.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.
Our trusted projections expect D'Andre Swift to total 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
This year, the poor Patriots run defense has conceded a colossal 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness (3.92 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (25th percentile among running backs).
With a terrible rate of 2.68 yards after contact (19th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift places as one of the weakest running backs in the league.
Projection For D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 66.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: -110
- Carries 17.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Bears are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to run on 45.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.
Our trusted projections expect D'Andre Swift to total 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
After making up 49.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, D'Andre Swift has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, now making up 59.7%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Projection For D'Andre Swift Carries Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 16.3 Carries in this weeks game.
