Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
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Dalton Kincaid Projections & Prop Bets

Dalton Kincaid projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills on Oct 20, 2024

Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: -165
  • Receptions 3.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

This week, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.

Dalton Kincaid's 43.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.1.

The Titans pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.2%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (78.2%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

Dalton Kincaid's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a significant decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 4.6 mark.

Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop Bet

Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.


Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 38.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 38.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This week, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.

Dalton Kincaid has totaled a monstrous 38.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among TEs.

Dalton Kincaid's 43.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.1.

With a fantastic 37.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (87th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in football.

Dalton Kincaid's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this season, notching 7.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.32 figure last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 36.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+500
-
+410
Consensus
-322
+194
-351
+194
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+950
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-
+950
-
+850
Consensus
-
+470
-
+480
-
+500
-
+500
-
+230
-
+190
-
+750
-
+900
-
+1200
-
+1200
-
+800
-
+550
-
+950
-
+850
-
+490
-
+460
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
17
18
20
20
18
17
19
19
17
18
20
20
18
17
19
Consensus
-105
-
-121
-111
-122
-109
-
-124
-106
-
-119
-108
-120
-112
-
-123
-109
-
-117
-111
-123
-113
-
-125
-109
-
-123
-111
-123
-117
-
-123
-104
-106
-
-
-
-
-118
-122
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-122
-122
-105
-
-120
-110
-120
-105
-
-125
-105
-
-120
-110
-120
-110
-
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+150
+130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
Consensus
+118
-164
-164
+123
+123
-158
-160
+126
+126
-169
-169
+120
+123
-169
-174
+126
+120
-155
-155
+125
+125
-165
-155
+125
-
-168
-
+142
-
-188
-
+128
+125
-175
-160
+130
+125
-155
-165
+125
+120
-
-130
-
+105
-
-140
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
7
41
40
36
42
39
44
45
46
7
8
41
40
42
36
44
45
39
46
8
7
41
40
36
42
39
44
45
46
7
8
41
40
42
36
44
45
39
46
Consensus
-108
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-113
-116
-
-114
-115
-119
-117
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-110
-111
-114
-
-
-
-116
-116
-
-115
-115
-121
-117
-
-
-
-115
-116
-116
-
-110
-112
-113
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-127
-127
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-108
-108
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-127
-127
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-108
-108
-117
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-110
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-106
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-105
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-120
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1650
+1625
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+11166
+11166
+17000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+460
+430

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