Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears

Nov 3, 2024

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Arizona Cardinals
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D.J. Moore Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

D.J. Moore MLB projections and prop bets for Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears on Oct 13, 2024

D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: -108
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.22 seconds per snap.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.8 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.3 targets.

The Chicago O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

D.J. Moore comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

D.J. Moore's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 76.9.

D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.2% to 67.3%.

Projection For D.J. Moore Receptions Prop Bet

D.J. Moore is projected to have 5 Receptions in this weeks game.


D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 65.5 over: -131
  • Receiving Yards 65.5 under: -104

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.22 seconds per snap.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.8 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.3 targets.

The Chicago O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

This year, the feeble Jaguars defense has yielded a massive 198.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-most in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

After accruing 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 75.0 per game.

D.J. Moore's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 76.9.

D.J. Moore has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (77.0).

D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.2% to 67.3%.

D.J. Moore's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this season signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 10.0 rate.

Projection For D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop Bet

D.J. Moore is projected to have 60.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • First Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • First Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
57
57
56
56
57
57
56
Consensus
-120
-117
-118
-113
-120
-117
-118
-113
-119
-119
-115
-115
-119
-119
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-115
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
5
5
5
Consensus
-120
+104
-127
-103
-109
-108
-142
-125
-130
+105
-125
-110
-120
-108
-120
-108
-130
-115
-135
-120
-120
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+700
-
+700
Consensus
-
+950
-
+950
Consensus
-
+460
-
+430
Consensus
-
+950
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+440
-
+430
Consensus
-272
+190
-248
+188
Consensus
-
+700
-
+750
-
+700
-
+750
-
+950
-
+950
-
+430
-
+460
-
+1000
-
+950
-
+450
-
+450
-
+210
-
+210
-
+800
-
+750
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1433
+1400
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-160
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
55
54
57
53
56
58
9
54
53
57
56
58
55
9
55
54
57
53
56
58
9
54
53
57
56
58
55
Consensus
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-114
-112
-114
-114
-115
-111
-
-116
-115
-115
-115
-115
-117
-
-115
-116
-115
-113
-115
-113
-
-115
-112
-113
-116
-118
-111
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-110
-120
-120
-115
-110
-
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+220
+210
Open
Current
Book
Over
Over
20
20
Consensus
+360
+360
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7750
+3000
+15000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
21
23
22
21
23
22
21
23
22
21
23
Consensus
-115
-
-107
-112
-
-121
-117
-
-108
-111
-
-120
-125
-
-111
-109
-
-123
-115
-
-109
-115
-
-125
-104
-120
-
-120
-108
-
-110
-118
-
-115
-110
-
-120
-
-110
-115
-
-120
-120
-
-110
-115
-
-120