Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos

Nov 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens
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Courtland Sutton Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Courtland Sutton projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos on Nov 17, 2024

Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: 105
  • Receptions 4.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

This week, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 62.8 figure this year.

The Denver O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Courtland Sutton's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 57.4%.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Atlanta's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.

Projection For Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop Bet

Courtland Sutton is projected to have 4.6 Receptions in this weeks game.


Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 55.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 55.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

This week, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

After totaling 76.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has shown good development this season, currently boasting 92.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 62.8 figure this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Courtland Sutton's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 57.4%.

Courtland Sutton's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 rate last year.

With a lackluster 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton has been among the top wide receivers in the game in football in the open field.

This year, the tough Falcons pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a measly 2.9 YAC.

Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Courtland Sutton is projected to have 63.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1725
+1725
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
Consensus
-326
+248
-336
+250
Consensus
-
+900
-
+900
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+500
-
+490
Consensus
-
+800
-
+750
-
+500
-
+500
-
+250
-
+250
-
+850
-
+950
-
+1200
-
+1100
-
+1200
-
+1100
-
+500
-
+490
-
+800
-
+750
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
50
52
51
49
53
48
50
49
51
52
48
53
50
52
51
49
53
48
50
49
51
52
48
53
Consensus
-115
-114
-110
-116
-
-119
-114
-116
-119
-119
-114
-
-115
-116
-115
-114
-
-119
-116
-116
-115
-119
-114
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-120
-115
-120
-110
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-120
-110
-115
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
52
51
50
49
48
53
8
7
51
49
50
52
48
53
7
8
52
51
50
49
48
53
8
7
51
49
50
52
48
53
7
8
Consensus
-114
-119
-117
-114
-115
-
-
-
-114
-116
-107
-117
-114
-
-
-
-115
-114
-115
-119
-115
-
-
-
-116
-115
-110
-111
-114
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-118
-123
-117
-127
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-108
-111
-117
-
-
-
-117
-123
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-104
-117
-111
-117
-117
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-110
-105
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+210
+195
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+10250
+12000
+18000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
4
4
5
5
4
4
5
Consensus
+126
-167
+120
-152
+119
-157
+124
-162
+123
-169
+126
-169
+126
-166
+118
-174
+125
-165
+125
-165
+130
-155
+125
-150
+108
-
-
-140
+106
-
-
-138
+130
-175
+125
-165
+125
-165
+125
-175
+110
-
-
-140
+110
-
-
-145
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-155
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
21
20
21
22
20
22
21
20
21
22
20
Consensus
-
-127
-120
-116
-
-108
-
-114
-120
-121
-
-108
-
-135
-117
-104
-
-117
-
-117
-117
+102
-
-117
-113
-115
-
-113
-120
-
-108
-120
-
-110
-122
-
-
-135
-125
-120
-
-105
-
-110
-125
+110
-
-105

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