Courtland Sutton projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos on Nov 17, 2024
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 105
- Receptions 4.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
This week, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 62.8 figure this year.
The Denver O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Courtland Sutton's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 57.4%.
When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Atlanta's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 4.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 55.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 55.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
This week, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
After totaling 76.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has shown good development this season, currently boasting 92.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 62.8 figure this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Courtland Sutton's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 57.4%.
Courtland Sutton's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 rate last year.
With a lackluster 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton has been among the top wide receivers in the game in football in the open field.
This year, the tough Falcons pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a measly 2.9 YAC.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 63.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
