Courtland Sutton projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 10, 2024
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 52.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 52.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
The Broncos rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Courtland Sutton has put up far more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton's 56.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 68.4% mark.
Courtland Sutton's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating just 8.36 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 figure last year.
With a lackluster 2.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton stands as one of the best WRs in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.
This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has given up a paltry 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in football.
The Chiefs pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 57.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
