Courtland Sutton MLB projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos on Oct 13, 2024
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 47.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 47.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week, Courtland Sutton is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
Courtland Sutton has posted quite a few more air yards this year (109.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Courtland Sutton's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Chargers defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a whopping 9.06 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Courtland Sutton's 45.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 68.4% rate.
Courtland Sutton's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.6 rate.
Courtland Sutton's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, notching just 1.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.59 mark last year.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 63 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 130
- Receptions 4.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This week, Courtland Sutton is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
Courtland Sutton's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Courtland Sutton's 45.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 68.4% rate.
Since the start of last season, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed a puny 63.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 4.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
