Cole Kmet Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Cole Kmet MLB projections and prop bets for Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears on Oct 13, 2024

Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 108
• Receptions 3.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.22 seconds per snap.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.8 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Cole Kmet to notch 4.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.

The Chicago O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Cole Kmet profiles as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Cole Kmet's 33.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 41.2.

The Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.3%) to tight ends this year (64.3%).

Projection For Cole Kmet Receptions Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.

Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 29.5 over: -109
• Receiving Yards 29.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.22 seconds per snap.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.8 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Cole Kmet to notch 4.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.

When it comes to air yards, Cole Kmet ranks in the towering 89th percentile among TEs this year, averaging a staggering 37.0 per game.

With a remarkable 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (95th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Cole Kmet's 33.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 41.2.

The Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.3%) to tight ends this year (64.3%).

Projection For Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 36.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.