Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams

Nov 3, 2024

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Seattle Seahawks
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Colby Parkinson Projections & Prop Bets

Colby Parkinson projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 20, 2024

Colby Parkinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: -140
  • Receptions 3.5 under: 108

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Rams.

The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Colby Parkinson's 80.2% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful progression in his pass attack volume over last year's 33.3% rate.

In this game, Colby Parkinson is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Colby Parkinson's 61.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his receiving talent over last year's 80.9% figure.

Projection For Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop Bet

Colby Parkinson is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in this weeks game.


Colby Parkinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 36.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 36.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Rams.

The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Colby Parkinson's 80.2% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful progression in his pass attack volume over last year's 33.3% rate.

In this game, Colby Parkinson is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Colby Parkinson's 61.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his receiving talent over last year's 80.9% figure.

Projection For Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Colby Parkinson is projected to have 41.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+950
Consensus
-555
+347
-561
+387
Consensus
-
+600
-
+550
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+850
-
+950
Consensus
-
+700
-
+700
Consensus
-
+2700
-
+1500
-
+1000
-
+1000
-
+330
-
+320
-
+600
-
+700
-
+1400
-
+1500
-
+850
-
+900
-
+750
-
+750
-
+2500
-
+2600
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
26
27
29
25
30
23
24
28
21
31
26
24
29
25
23
31
27
28
21
30
26
27
29
25
30
23
24
28
21
31
26
24
29
25
23
31
27
28
21
30
Consensus
-114
-113
-
-121
-
-118
-119
-114
-118
-
-116
-110
-
-111
-112
-
-114
-116
-111
-
-113
-114
-
-114
-
-121
-114
-113
-116
-
-116
-116
-
-115
-111
-
-112
-115
-113
-
-121
-121
-
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-121
-121
-
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-120
-115
-120
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-120
-110
-115
-120
-110
-
-110
-115
-120
-120
-110
-115
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-110
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2920
+2820
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
Consensus
+129
-167
+131
-171
+129
-172
+141
-171
+118
-169
+110
-142
+104
+100
+100
-163
+120
-150
+125
-155
+130
-185
+130
-170
+130
-175
+115
-175
+115
-125
+105
-155
+150
-
-
-200
+150
-
-
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
13
14
12
15
13
14
15
12
13
14
12
15
13
14
15
12
Consensus
-104
-107
-
-
-104
-124
-
-
-125
-114
-
-
-104
-126
-
-
-108
-106
-
-117
-129
-117
-117
-
-123
-117
-
-117
-127
-127
-117
-
-130
-110
-125
-110
-125
-120
-120
-105
-125
-120
-125
-115
-115
-125
-120
-105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+8500
+8500

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