Chase Brown projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns on Oct 20, 2024
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 11.5 over: -137
- Carries 11.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
After comprising 15.7% of his team's carries last year, Chase Brown has been more involved in the run game this year, now sitting at 39.2%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Chase Brown Carries Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 10.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 54.5 over: -106
- Rushing Yards 54.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
After comprising 15.7% of his team's carries last year, Chase Brown has been more involved in the run game this year, now sitting at 39.2%.
Chase Brown has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
Chase Brown's running effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 5.30 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.60 rate last year.
The Browns defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 45.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -115
- Receptions 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Chase Brown to accrue 3.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
Chase Brown's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 4.5.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Chase Brown's 80.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 93.3% mark.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Browns defense has yielded a measly 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in the league.
Projection For Chase Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Chase Brown to accrue 3.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
Chase Brown's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 4.5.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Chase Brown's 80.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 93.3% mark.
Chase Brown's 3.6 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a material decline in his receiving talent over last year's 8.7 mark.
Projection For Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 16.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
