Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2024

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CeeDee Lamb Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

CeeDee Lamb MLB projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys on Oct 13, 2024

CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 6.5 over: -140
  • Receptions 6.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The model projects the Cowboys as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

CeeDee Lamb's 21.5% Target Share this season reflects a material diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season's 30.2% figure.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

CeeDee Lamb's 5.1 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.9 figure.

CeeDee Lamb's 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.7% rate.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop Bet

CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 6.4 Receptions in this weeks game.


CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 89.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 89.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Cowboys as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

CeeDee Lamb's 21.5% Target Share this season reflects a material diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season's 30.2% figure.

After totaling 109.0 air yards per game last year, CeeDee Lamb has seen a big decline this year, currently averaging 78.0 per game.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

CeeDee Lamb's 69.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 103.0 rate.

CeeDee Lamb's 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.7% rate.

Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop Bet

CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 87.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+16000
+18000
+17000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+125
+130
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2633
+2666
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+500
-
+500
Consensus
-110
-108
-111
-115
Consensus
-
+240
-
+260
Consensus
-
+220
-
+250
Consensus
-
+440
-
+440
Consensus
-
+650
-
+550
Consensus
-
+430
-
+460
-
+500
-
+500
-
+105
-
+100
-
+250
-
+260
-
+230
-
+230
-
+420
-
+450
-
+600
-
+600
-
+410
-
+420
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-340
-350
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+531
+513
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
20
18
86
87
85
88
84
19
20
18
86
87
85
88
84
19
20
18
86
87
85
88
84
19
20
18
86
87
85
88
84
Consensus
-113
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-116
-116
-120
-119
-
-
-
-
-112
-109
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-116
-117
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-125
-125
-125
-
-
-
-109
-104
-115
-109
-109
-
-
-
-119
-131
-125
-125
-125
-
-
-
-109
-109
-109
-109
-109
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-111
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
3
3
3
Consensus
-111
-122
-108
-120
-111
-123
-111
-123
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
26
27
25
26
27
25
26
27
25
26
27
25
Consensus
-113
-
-
-115
-
-
-109
-
-
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-123
-
-
-117
-
-
-121
-
-
-113
-114
-
-108
-115
-
-114
-113
-
-110
-120
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-120
-
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
94
93
91
92
95
90
93
94
92
95
90
91
94
93
91
92
95
90
93
94
92
95
90
91
Consensus
-117
-116
-116
-119
-114
-
-116
-116
-116
-119
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-117
-115
-119
-
-116
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
7
8
7
8
7
8
7
Consensus
+115
-154
-144
+117
+108
-154
-149
+117
+114
-154
-135
+112
-101
-157
-157
+114
+110
-155
-150
+120
+100
-155
-145
+120
+116
-
-152
-
+106
-
-144
-
+115
-155
-150
+120
+105
-155
-145
+115
+115
-145
-150
+110
+115
-150
-160
+115