C.J. Stroud projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024
C.J. Stroud Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 145
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The Detroit Lions defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
With a lackluster 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the league against the Lions defense this year (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Lions defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest passing TDs in the league: 0.75 per game this year.
The Lions safeties rank as the best group of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.
Projection For C.J. Stroud Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
C.J. Stroud is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
C.J. Stroud Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
C.J. Stroud has run for substantially more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
C.J. Stroud's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 5.77 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.43 mark last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 100.0 per game) against the Lions defense this year.
The Lions defensive tackles rank as the 10th-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop Bet
C.J. Stroud is projected to have 14.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
C.J. Stroud Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 2.5 over: -180
- Carries 2.5 under: 145
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
The Lions defensive tackles rank as the 10th-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For C.J. Stroud Carries Prop Bet
C.J. Stroud is projected to have 2.7 Carries in this weeks game.
C.J. Stroud Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The Detroit Lions defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
Detroit's defense ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year as it relates to inducing interceptions, totaling 1.36 per game.
The Lions safeties rank as the best group of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.
Projection For C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop Bet
C.J. Stroud is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
C.J. Stroud Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 229.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 229.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The Detroit Lions defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
C.J. Stroud has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (222.0) this season than he did last season (257.0).
With a lackluster 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the league against the Lions defense this year (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Lions pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 6.92 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the league.
Projection For C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop Bet
C.J. Stroud is projected to have 267.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
