Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 105
- Receptions 6.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projection model to land in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.5 targets.
With an extraordinary 28.0% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.1% to 80.9%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 6.0 adjusted catches per game this year marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 7.4 rate.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 6.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 65.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 65.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projection model to land in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.5 targets.
With an extraordinary 28.0% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.1% to 80.9%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (59.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 80.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
