Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings on Oct 20, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 7.5 over: 115
- Receptions 7.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by our trusted projection set to run 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 6.1 adjusted catches per game this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 7.4 mark.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 74.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 74.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by our trusted projection set to run 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted quite a few less air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 98.0 mark.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a remarkable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 9.9 mark.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, notching just 2.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.55 figure last season.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 84.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
