Aaron Rodgers projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 1.5 over: -135
- Carries 1.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Aaron Rodgers has been more involved in the running game this season, now making up 7.3%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Jets rank as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 31.7% run rate.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to accumulate 1.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in the league.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 1.1 Carries in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 104
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -134
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (62.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a colossal 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) by this measure.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Aaron Rodgers comes in as one of the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 63.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 224.5 over: -125
- Passing Yards 224.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a colossal 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) by this measure.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Aaron Rodgers comes in as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 252.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Aaron Rodgers comes in as one of the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 63.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 209.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 2.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Aaron Rodgers has been more involved in the running game this season, now making up 7.3%.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Jets rank as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 31.7% run rate.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Aaron Rodgers's ground efficiency (4.72 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (23rd percentile when it comes to QBs).
This year, the tough Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has given up a mere 86.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 4th-best in the league.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 2.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 21.5 over: -114
- Completions 21.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a colossal 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) by this measure.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Aaron Rodgers comes in as one of the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 63.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 19.3 Completions in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -102
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a colossal 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) by this measure.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have intercepted 0.98 throws per game this year, ranking as the 6th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 32.5 over: -125
- Pass Attempts 32.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a colossal 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) by this measure.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 30.4 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
