Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars on Nov 10, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 70.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 70.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
In this game, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
After making up 50.2% of his team's run game usage last year, Aaron Jones has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, currently making up 61.4%.
Aaron Jones's 74.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a significant progression in his rushing prowess over last season's 61.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-least run-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.1% run rate.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
The Jaguars defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 64.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -109
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.9% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to accrue 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has put up a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
Aaron Jones has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Projection For Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 23.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: -130
- Carries 16.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
In this game, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
After making up 50.2% of his team's run game usage last year, Aaron Jones has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, currently making up 61.4%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-least run-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.1% run rate.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
The Jaguars defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 14.8 Carries in this weeks game.
