A.J. Brown projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles on Nov 14, 2024
A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 79.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 79.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the model to rank in the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.
A.J. Brown ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 80.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
A.J. Brown's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 12.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 9.63 figure last season.
A.J. Brown's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this season, notching 6.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.96 rate last season.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's collection of CBs has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.5% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Eagles.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.2 per game) this year.
While A.J. Brown has received 35.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Philadelphia's passing attack in this contest at 26.5%.
Projection For A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A.J. Brown is projected to have 65.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 110
- Receptions 5.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the model to rank in the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's collection of CBs has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.5% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Eagles.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.2 per game) this year.
A.J. Brown's 4.6 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 6.2 mark.
Projection For A.J. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
A.J. Brown is projected to have 4.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
