A.J. Brown projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants on Oct 20, 2024
A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 110
- Receptions 5.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this week's game, A.J. Brown is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.
A.J. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 31.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
The Giants pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) to WRs this year (69.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
A.J. Brown's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 69.7% to 60.8%.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For A.J. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
A.J. Brown is projected to have 6.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this week's game, A.J. Brown is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.
A.J. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 31.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
The Giants pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) to WRs this year (69.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
A.J. Brown's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 69.7% to 60.8%.
This year, the imposing Giants pass defense has surrendered the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a meager 3.4 YAC.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A.J. Brown is projected to have 82.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
