Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, Odds & Picks – 9/29/2024

Steelers vs Colts Betting Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

Sunday the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) will battle the Indianapolis Colts (1-2). Oddsmakers peg the Steelers as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 54%, leaving the Colts with a 46% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Steelers -1.5 with a Game Total of 40.0.

Pittsburgh's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #25 in the league with a mere 290 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #2-worst in football with 189 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.69 yards per carry for the Steelers -- bottom 10 in the league. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Pittsburgh. Their offensive line has ranked just #29 in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Steelers have ranked #18 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 228 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #22 with 4.24 yards per carry. Pittsburgh has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 61.6% completion rate (#6-lowest). Pittsburgh has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 8.9 yards per target (#5-worst).

Indianapolis's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #8 in football at 4.42 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Colts check in at #30 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 227 yards per game against Indianapolis this year (#17 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #17 against them with 4.62 yards per ground attempt. This Colts defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 135 yards per game (#10-best in the league). Indianapolis's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 52 yards per game (#4-worst in the league).

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Final Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 22.16 vs Indianapolis Colts 23.07

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

Visit the NFL picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.