The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award is one that is associated with young quarterback play. But the recent reality of this award is that quarterbacks have been anything but guaranteed to win it. Only six of the last 12 recipients of this award have been quarterbacks. Instead, talented young wide receivers and running backs have had just as good a chance as first-year signal callers to claim it.
One big reason for the parity with this award is that rookie quarterbacks are often put into tough spots. If they are playing right away, it is a product of organizational distress in many cases. The roster issues that prompt a rookie quarterback to play immediately are not often conducive to big numbers, winning games, or winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.
Let’s look at the betting odds from our top NFL Sportsbooks for the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year and then handicap the top prices and other contenders.
Bettors can also take a look at our preview of the Defensive Rookie Of The Year award.
2024 NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR ODDS
Player | Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds |
Jayden Daniels | -450 |
Bo Nix | +320 |
Brock Bowers | +2500 |
When looking at Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, usage is the biggest key of all. Bettors should ask themselves before locking in a bet on any player whether that player will see action regularly. On top of that, will those players see touches to go with any snaps that they do get? If the answers to those questions are yes, that player is at least worth considering for the award.
Quarterbacks
Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders
Jayden Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year despite LSU being nowhere near the national title conversation. Now he has replaced Sam Howell as the quarterback of the Washington Commanders and is an instant contender to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. His slim build and the recent history of the Commanders are both huge concerns long-term, but Daniels has been electric this season for Washington and will look to remain the favorite to win this award.
Bo Nix, Denver Broncos
It has been an up-and-down start to the year for Bo Nix as the quarterback of the Denver Broncos. But Nix has steadily improved this season and has worked his way ahead of everyone in this rookie class but Daniels in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race. If Nix and the Broncos can continue to exceed expectations as this season goes on, we could see Nix rewarded with this individual honor at the end of the season.
Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears
The number one overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft was Caleb Williams, who was selected by the Chicago Bears. Williams had a great college career, including a couple of huge years as the signal caller at USC. But Justin Fields had a great college career as well before being derailed as a pro by the Bears organization, which is undoubtedly a concern for Williams as well despite his considerable physical tools. Williams has shown flashes of brilliance this year but has also had some growing pains and he sits as the third quarterback in the NFL OROY race behind Daniels and Nix for now.
Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends
Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
The tight end with the best chance of winning this award is Brock Bowers of the Las Vegas Raiders. Bowers was great at tight end for Georgia in college and he has been a high-usage option for Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell in Vegas during his rookie year. Bowers should get enough targets to remain in consideration for this award, but the struggles of the Raiders offense as a whole could hold him back from being a top contender here.
Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
The first skill position player taken in this year’s NFL Draft was Marvin Harrison Jr., who was selected by the Arizona Cardinals. Harrison had a prolific collegiate career at Ohio State and he has made an impact right away in the pros. Harrison is in the top-10 in receiving touchdowns so far this season and he will look to continue to make things happen for a Cardinals team that is in the thick of the race for the NFC West title.
Malik Nabers, New York Giants
The New York Giants also took a skill position player in the top-10 of the draft, grabbing LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers. Nabers was the second-best receiver in this year’s class behind Harrison. But he also benefited from catching passes from last season’s Heisman Trophy winner. He is stuck with Daniel Jones and now Tommy DeVito as his quarterback with the Giants, but Nabers has found a way to make explosive plays and will hope to get enough catchable passes from his disastrous quarterbacks to stay in OROY contention.
2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Prediction
Our pick to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders. Daniels has been effective both with his arm and with his legs early in the year and he has really elevated the Commanders from where they were a season ago. Look for Daniels to continue to outperform Williams, Nix, and the rest of this rookie class.