The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award is one that is associated with young quarterback play. But the recent reality of this award is that quarterbacks have been anything but guaranteed to win it. Only six of the last 12 recipients of this award have been quarterbacks. Instead, talented young wide receivers and running backs have had just as good a chance as first-year signal callers to claim it.
One big reason for the parity with this award is that rookie quarterbacks are often put into tough spots. If they are playing right away, it is a product of organizational distress in many cases. The roster issues that prompt a rookie quarterback to play immediately are not often conducive to big numbers, winning games, or winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.
Let’s look at the betting odds from our top NFL Sportsbooks for the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year and then handicap the top prices and other contenders.
Bettors can also take a look at our preview of the Defensive Rookie Of The Year award.
2024 NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR ODDS
As of now, the odds for Offensive Rookie of the Year are off the board for the 2024 season. That is because Jayden Daniels all but ran away with the award this season. Daniels led the Washington Commanders to the playoffs this year and his performance of the regular season is expected to be more than enough to come away with the award in convincing fashion.
When looking at Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, usage is the biggest key of all. Bettors should ask themselves before locking in a bet on any player whether that player will see action regularly. On top of that, will those players see touches to go with any snaps that they do get? If the answers to those questions are yes, that player is at least worth considering for the award.
Quarterbacks
Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders
Jayden Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year despite LSU being nowhere near the national title conversation. Now he has replaced Sam Howell as the quarterback of the Washington Commanders and is almost a lock to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in the NFL. His slim build and the recent history of the Commanders are both huge concerns long-term, but Daniels has been electric this season for Washington and it would be a huge upset if anyone else claimed this honor for themselves.
Bo Nix, Denver Broncos
Another quarterback that led his team to the playoffs in his rookie season was Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos. Nix showed flashes of brilliance early in his pro career, leading to the Broncos being better than advertised on offense. While that may not lead to immediate postseason success for Denver, Nix certainly deserves credit for the season he had, even if he finishes behind Daniels in his race.
Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears
The number one overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft was Caleb Williams, who was selected by the Chicago Bears. Williams had a great college career, including a couple of huge years as the signal caller at USC. But Justin Fields had a great college career as well before being derailed as a pro by the Bears organization, which is undoubtedly a concern for Williams as well despite his considerable physical tools. Williams could not lead the Bears to a successful season this year and will look to bounce back in 2025.
Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends
Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
Brock Bowers of the Las Vegas Raiders had one of the great seasons by a rookie tight end in NFL history. Bowers was great at tight end for Georgia in college and he has been a high-usage option for Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell in Vegas during his rookie year. Bowers will not be able to take this award over the quarterbacks that had a ton of success, but Bowers deserves praise for being one of the few bright spots on the Raiders roster.
Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
The first skill position player taken in this year’s NFL Draft was Marvin Harrison Jr., who was selected by the Arizona Cardinals. Harrison had a prolific collegiate career at Ohio State and he has made an impact right away in the pros. Harrison finished in the top-15 in receiving touchdowns so far this season and he clearly has a promising pro career ahead of him.
2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Prediction
Our pick to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders. Daniels has been effective both with his arm and with his legs and he has really elevated the Commanders from where they were a season ago. Look for Daniels to claim an individual award for the second year in a row.
