2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Betting Odds & Predictions

The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award is one that is associated with young quarterback play. But the recent reality of this award is that quarterbacks have been anything but guaranteed to win it. Only six of the last 12 recipients of this award have been quarterbacks. Instead, talented young wide receivers and running backs have had just as good a chance as first-year signal callers to claim it.

One big reason for the parity with this award is that rookie quarterbacks are often put into tough spots. If they are playing right away, it is a product of organizational distress in many cases. The roster issues that prompt a rookie quarterback to play immediately are not often conducive to big numbers, winning games, or winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

Let’s look at the betting odds from our top NFL Sportsbooks for the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year and then handicap the top prices and other contenders.

Bettors can also take a look at our preview of the Defensive Rookie Of The Year award.

When looking at Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, usage is the biggest key of all. Bettors should ask themselves before locking in a bet on any player whether that player will see action regularly. On top of that, will those players see touches to go with any snaps that they do get? If the answers to those questions are yes, that player is at least worth considering for the award.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year despite LSU being nowhere near the national title conversation. Now he has replaced Sam Howell as the quarterback of the Washington Commanders and is an instant contender to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. His slim build and the recent history of the Commanders are both huge concerns, but Daniels has been a threat early in the season for Washington and will look to remain the favorite to win this award.

Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears

The number one overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft was Caleb Williams, who was selected by the Chicago Bears. Williams had a great college career, including a couple of huge years as the signal caller at USC. But Justin Fields had a great college career as well before being derailed as a pro by the Bears organization, which is undoubtedly a concern for Williams as well despite his considerable physical tools. Williams has shown flashes of brilliance this year but has also had some growing pains and he sits as the second quarterback in the NFL OROY race behind Daniels for now.

Bo Nix, Denver Broncos

As expected, it has been an up-and-down start to the year for Bo Nix as the quarterback of the Denver Broncos. But Nix hasn’t been horrible, even if the Broncos haven’t done a ton of scoring through their first few games of the season. His performance against the Buccaneers on the road in Week 3 was legitimately impressive and could be a sign of things to come for the rookie signal caller, but developing consistency will be key for him.

Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends

Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals

The first skill position player taken in this year’s NFL Draft was Marvin Harrison Jr., who was selected by the Arizona Cardinals. Harrison had a prolific collegiate career at Ohio State and will be likely to make an impact right away in the pros. So far he has done just that, as he is one of the top receiving touchdown producers in the league to this point in the season.

Malik Nabers, New York Giants

The New York Giants also took a skill position player in the top-10 of the draft, grabbing LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers. Nabers was the second-best receiver in this year’s class behind Harrison. But he also benefited from catching passes from last season’s Heisman Trophy winner. He is stuck with Daniel Jones as his quarterback with the Giants, but Nabers has found a way to make explosive plays and he is firmly in the mix to win this award, though an early-season concussion could cause him problems.

Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders

The tight end with the best chance of winning this award is Brock Bowers of the Las Vegas Raiders. Bowers was great at tight end for Georgia in college and he has been a high-usage option for Gardner Minshew in Vegas during his rookie year. Bowers should get enough targets to remain in consideration for this award, but the struggles of the Raiders offense as a whole could hold him back from being a top contender here.

Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs

Unlike many of the other players mentioned in this article, Xavier Worthy was not drafted inside of the top-10 of the first round. He was drafted near the end of the first round, but he should be a threat to win Offensive Rookie of the Year thanks to his favorable landing spot. He joins the Kansas City Chiefs, who were in need of a high-level receiver addition given all of the issues with previous options like Kadarius Toney. Worthy’s speed has already been a huge weapon for the Chiefs and he could steal this award by season’s end.

2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Prediction

Our early pick to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders. Daniels has been effective both with his arm and with his legs early in the year and he could really elevate the Commanders from where they were a season ago. Look for Daniels to continue to outperform Williams and the rest of this rookie class.