New York Jets

New York Jets

Dec 8, 2024

Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/8/2024

Jets vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Spread: New York Jets 6, Miami Dolphins -6
Over/Under: 45
Moneyline: New York Jets 225, Miami Dolphins -265

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
New York Jets - 30% New York Jets - 27%
Miami Dolphins - 70% Miami Dolphins - 73%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

It was a shutout the last time these two teams played, as the home Dolphins completely shutdown the Jets offense, winning 30-0 in Week 15 of 2023. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Dolphins not only won, but covered the -7.0 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 35.5 and which the Under hit.

New York's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #10 in the league while allowing just 332 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #3-least yards per game: 200. The Jets have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 40 yards per game (#4-best). New York's best position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank #6 in the league in locking down route-runners. New York's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive tackles, which check in as the #5-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Jets have ranked #22 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 238 yards per game (#15 in football). On the ground they've ranked #26 with 3.76 yards per carry.

Miami's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #27 in football with a low 3.74 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Dolphins check in at #5 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 217 yards per game against Miami this year (#26 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 against them with 4.48 yards per ground attempt. This Dolphins defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 125 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Miami's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 7.53 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

Final Score: New York Jets 18.45 vs Miami Dolphins 25.27

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-108
27% NYJ
-6.5/-112
73% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+240
17% NYJ
-298
83% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

45.0/-112
20% UN
45.0/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

NYJ
Team Stats
MIA
16
G
16
306
PTs
332
19.1
PPG
20.8
4900
YDS
4970
306.2
YDS/G
310.6
35
TD
30
2.2
TD/G
1.9
34.4
SC%
40.8
9.3
TO%
8.3

Defense/Offense

NYJ
Team Stats
MIA
16
G
16
384
PTs
325
24
PPG
20.3
5000
YDS
5198
312.5
YDS/G
324.9
38
TD
32
2.4
TD/G
2
44.7
SC%
40.1
7.2
TO%
10.2

Offense/Defense

NYJ
Rushing
MIA
16
G
16
341
ATT
383
1443
YDS
1645
90.2
Y/G
102.8
4.2
Y/A
4.3
8
TD
12
0.5
TD/G
0.8

Defense/Offense

NYJ
Rushing
MIA
16
G
16
481
ATT
425
1924
YDS
1660
120.3
Y/G
103.8
4.0
Y/A
3.9
21
TD
11
1.3
TD/G
0.7

Offense/Defense

NYJ
Passing
MIA
362
CMP
342
570
ATT
535
63.5
CMP%
63.9
216.1
YDS/GM
207.8
6.6
Y/A
6.6
5.7
NY/A
5.9
10
INT
9
37
SK
32

Defense/Offense

NYJ
Passing
MIA
302
CMP
388
480
ATT
550
62.9
CMP%
70.5
192.2
YDS/GM
221.1
7.0
Y/A
6.9
5.9
NY/A
6.0
5
INT
8
39
SK
39

Offense/Defense

NYJ
Special Teams
MIA
31
Punts/Ret
20
255
Punt/Yds
219
8.2
Punt/Y/R
11.0
28
Kick Off/Ret
16
858
Kick Off/Yds
409
30.6
Kick Off/Y/rt
25.6

Defense/Offense

NYJ
Special Teams
MIA
28
Punts/Ret
27
254
Punt/Yds
266
9.1
Punt/Y/R
9.9
27
Kick Off/Ret
22
668
Kick Off/Yds
614
24.7
Kick Off/Y/rt
27.9

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYJ MIA
NYJ MIA
Consensus
+6.5 (-111)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-111)
-6.5 (-109)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-107)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
NYJ MIA
NYJ MIA
Consensus
+242
-300
+242
-295
+250
-310
+240
-298
+235
-290
+240
-295
+210
-265
+235
-305
+235
-292
+240
-305
+240
-300
+240
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
44.5 (-110)
44.5 (-110)
45.5 (-109)
45.5 (-112)
44.5 (-110)
44.5 (-110)
45.0 (-108)
45.0 (-112)
44.5 (-105)
44.5 (-115)
45.5 (-105)
45.5 (-115)
44.5 (-109)
44.5 (-112)
45.5 (-108)
45.5 (-113)
44.5 (-110)
44.5 (-110)
45.5 (-110)
45.5 (-110)
45.0 (-110)
45.0 (-110)
45.0 (-110)
45.0 (-110)