New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Pick For 12/29/2024

Jets vs Bills Betting Odds

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Sunday the New York Jets (4-11) will battle the Buffalo Bills (12-3). Oddsmakers peg the Bills as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 79%, leaving the Jets with a 21% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Bills -9.5 with a Game Total of 47.0.

Buffalo's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #8 in football at 325 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Bills 4.97 yards per carry ranks #6-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Buffalo's 8.01 yards per target puts them #7 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 241 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#11 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #15 against them with 4.65 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 78.2% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 46 yards per game (#1-worst in the league).

New York's biggest weakness has been their rushing offense, checking in at #27 in the league with a mere 3.77 yards per carry. In terms of their defense, the Jets have ranked #15 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 220 yards per game through the air against them (#24 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #23 with 4.39 yards per carry. New York has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 42 yards per game (#5-best). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their defensive ends, which rank just #30 in the league in terms of stopping the run.

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: New York Jets 18.86 vs Buffalo Bills 25.89

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