Chiefs -4.5 (-110) over Dolphins
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- Miami went 7-2 at home this season but was just 4-4 on the road.
- Kansas City finished second in the NFL in scoring defense this season and should beat the Dolphins for a second time.
The most highly-anticipated game on the NFL Wild Card weekend schedule might be Saturday night’s Dolphins vs Chiefs matchup from Kansas City. The star power in this game is undeniable on both sides, while the storyline of Tyreek Hill facing his old team in the playoffs is certainly a compelling one. Kansas City is favored going into this contest, as they look to get the better of the Dolphins for the second time this year.
A lot has been made of the weather going into this game, with temperatures expected to be frigid in Kansas City on Saturday night. But the real differentiating factor of this contest could be the two defenses, as Kansas City is superior on that side of the ball. The Chiefs rank second in the NFL in scoring defense and should be able to slow down Tua Tagovailoa and company, while the Dolphins are dealing with injuries all over their defense.
Also key going into Dolphins vs Chiefs will be home-field advantage. Miami missed its opportunity to host a Wild Card playoff game when they lost to the Buffalo Bills last week, giving the AFC East title to their division rivals. Miami is 7-2 at home this year, but a mediocre 4-4 on the road, making that change at the top of the AFC East in the final week of the regular season a potentially devastating one for the visitors in this contest.
Both of these teams have performed well against the spread this season, with the Dolphins going 10-7 against the number and the Chiefs going 9-7-1 against the spread. But the Dolphins are far less impressive at home than they are on the road. We should see the Chiefs win and cover the spread against Miami for the second time this season, after they did so in Frankfurt earlier in the year.
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Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/OffenseNFL
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
MIA
Passing
KC
344 CMP 326 490 ATT 503 70.2 CMP% 64.8 222.6 YDS/GM 215.8 6.9 Y/A 6.8 5.9 NY/A 6.0 8 INT 12 35 SK 34
MIA
Passing
KC
292 CMP 365 448 ATT 545 65.2 CMP% 67.0 205 YDS/GM 225.9 6.9 Y/A 6.7 6.0 NY/A 5.8 7 INT 11 28 SK 36 Rushing
MIA
Rushing
KC
14 G 15 368 ATT 344 1420 YDS 1371 101.4 Y/G 91.4 3.9 Y/A 4.0 9 TD 11 0.6 TD/G 0.7
MIA
Rushing
KC
14 G 15 337 ATT 419 1450 YDS 1694 103.6 Y/G 112.9 4.3 Y/A 4.0 12 TD 14 0.9 TD/G 0.9 Special Teams
MIA
Special Teams
KC
22 Punts/Ret 23 213 Punt/Yds 239 9.7 Punt/Y/R 10.4 21 Kick Off/Ret 24 582 Kick Off/Yds 700 27.7 Kick Off/Y/rt 29.2
MIA
Special Teams
KC
18 Punts/Ret 27 202 Punt/Yds 269 11.2 Punt/Y/R 10.0 15 Kick Off/Ret 25 386 Kick Off/Yds 671 25.7 Kick Off/Y/rt 26.8 Scoring
MIA
Scoring
KC
14 G 15 9 RshTD 11 19 RecTD 20 28 FGM 22 32 FGA 29 19.7 Pts/G 18.5
MIA
Scoring
KC
14 G 15 12 RshTD 14 16 RecTD 23 33 FGM 31 38 FGA 35 22.3 Pts/G 23.7 Team Advanced Defense
MIA
Defense
KC
24.0% Bltz% 30.9% 9.1% Hrry% 8.5% 7.6% QB Hit% 11.7% 21.6% QB Prss% 24.7% Injuries
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
Alexander Johnson ILB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Andrew Van Ginkel LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Bradley Chubb LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Cameron Goode LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Cam Smith CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Connor Williams OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 DeShon Elliott S Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 De'Von Achane RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Erik Ezukanma WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Isaiah Wynn OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jaelan Phillips LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jalen Ramsey CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Jaylen Waddle WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jerome Baker LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jevon Holland S Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Keion Crossen DB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Kion Smith OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Liam Eichenberg OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Raheem Mostert RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Robbie Chosen WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Salvon Ahmed RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Skylar Thompson QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Terron Armstead OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Tyler Kroft TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Tyreek Hill WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Xavien Howard CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Zeke Vandenburgh LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
BJ Thompson DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Bryan Cook S Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Donovan Smith OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Gerrit Prince TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jerick McKinnon RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Jody Fortson TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Justyn Ross WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Kadarius Toney WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Keith Taylor Jr. CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 L'Jarius Sneed CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/11/24 Nazeeh Johnson S Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Neil Farrell DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Prince Tega Wanogho OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Skyy Moore WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Wanya Morris OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/13/24 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
KC
OVERALL OVERALL 1-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 18.33 Avg Score 17.33 32.33 Avg Opp Score 16.33 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 32.67 Avg Score 18.67 28 Avg Opp Score 19
MIA
Betting Trends
KC
OVERALL OVERALL 2-3-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 2-3-0 ATS W/L/P 2-2-1 22.4 Avg Score 19.2 25 Avg Opp Score 17.2 AWAY HOME 2-3-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 2-3-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 25.8 Avg Score 18.8 27.2 Avg Opp Score 18.4
MIA
Betting Trends
KC
OVERALL OVERALL 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 5-5-0 ATS W/L/P 4-5-1 25.6 Avg Score 19.3 20.4 Avg Opp Score 18.9 AWAY HOME 4-6-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 6-4-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 26.1 Avg Score 22.8 29.2 Avg Opp Score 16.8 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
