Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 12/29/2024

Dolphins vs Browns Betting Odds

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins faceoff against Dorian Thompson-Robinson and the Cleveland Browns. The Dolphins enter the game as a huge favorite (-290) despite being on the road. Miami is currently favored by -6.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 39.5.

Cleveland's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #29 in football with a low 3.69 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Cleveland has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.22 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Browns check in at #23 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 233 yards per game against Cleveland this year (#16 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #7 against them with 4.79 yards per ground attempt. This Browns pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 24 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Cleveland's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 9.3 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).

Miami's biggest weakness has been their rushing offense, checking in at #30 in the league with a mere 3.62 yards per carry. In terms of their defense, the Dolphins have ranked #6 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 218 yards per game through the air against them (#27 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #21 with 4.45 yards per carry. Miami has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 132 yards per game (#6-best). Miami has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 69.7% completion rate (#4-highest).

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

Final Score: Miami Dolphins 25.54 vs Cleveland Browns 16.65

Stay informed with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and predictions all season long.