Miami Dolphins
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Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Pick & Prediction – 11/28/2024
Dolphins vs Packers Betting Odds
Spread: | Miami Dolphins 3, Green Bay Packers -3 |
Over/Under: | 47 |
Moneyline: | Miami Dolphins 150, Green Bay Packers -175 |
Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Miami Dolphins - 39% | Miami Dolphins - 48% |
Green Bay Packers - 61% | Green Bay Packers - 52% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins faceoff against Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers enter the game as a favorite (-175) as the home team. Green Bay is currently favored by -3.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.0.
Green Bay's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #5 in football at 363 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Packers 4.56 yards per carry ranks #9-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Green Bay's 8.33 yards per target puts them #5 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Packers check in at #13 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 228 yards per game against Green Bay this year (#18 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #21 against them with 4.44 yards per ground attempt. This Packers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 124 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Green Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 63 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).
Miami's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 319 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #7-least yards per game: 212. The Dolphins have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 126 yards per game (#4-best). Miami's best position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank #10 in the league in locking down route-runners. In terms of their offense, the Dolphins have ranked #20 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 220 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #24 with 3.8 yards per carry.
Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
Final Score: Miami Dolphins 24.62 vs Green Bay Packers 25.41
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