Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks 12/1/2024

Chargers vs Falcons Betting Odds

Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Sunday the Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) will battle the Atlanta Falcons (6-5). Oddsmakers peg the Chargers as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 55%, leaving the Falcons with a 45% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Chargers -1.5 with a Game Total of 48.0.

Atlanta's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 378 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #7 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #7-most yards per game (248) against the Falcons. Opposing wide receivers have given the Falcons the most trouble, completing 73.8% of their targets (the #1-highest rate in football). Atlanta's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #3-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Atlanta given that the Chargers air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 7.52 yards per target (#13-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Falcons check in at #6 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 253 yards per game (#9 in football). Their run game has ranked #11 with 4.54 yards per attempt on the ground.

Los Angeles's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #29 in the league with a mere 285 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 191 yards per game. In terms of their defense, the Chargers have ranked #6 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 203 yards per game through the air against them (#29 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 with 4.83 yards per carry. Los Angeles has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 36 yards per game (#2-best). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their defensive tackles, which rank just #28 in the league in terms of getting to the passer.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Chargers 24.6 vs Atlanta Falcons 26.06

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