Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers

Jan 11, 2025

Houston Texans

Houston Texans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Wild Card Best Bet – 1/11/2025

Chargers vs Texans Betting Odds

Spread: Los Angeles Chargers -3, Houston Texans 3
Over/Under: 42.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles Chargers -155, Houston Texans 135

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Chargers - 59% Los Angeles Chargers - 50%
Houston Texans - 41% Houston Texans - 50%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 4 in 2022. That game resulted in a win for the Chargers with a final score of 34-24. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Chargers not only won, but covered the -5.5 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 45.5 and which the Over hit.

Los Angeles's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 320 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #8-least yards per game: 206. The Chargers have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 34 yards per game (#1-best). Los Angeles's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #7 in the league in locking down route-runners. This represents a particular advantage for Los Angeles given that the Texans have struggled so much with their pass game this year, managing just 6.55 yards per target (#9-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Chargers have ranked #21 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 221 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #17 with 4.11 yards per carry.

Houston's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 315 yards per game -- #3-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #6-least yards per game: 4.2. To give credit where credit is due, their pass defense has also been terrific, checking in at #2 in yards per target (7.1). This Texans run defense has been anchored by their defensive ends, who grade out as the #5-best unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Texans check in at #18 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 219 yards per game (#22 in football). Their run game has ranked #11 with 4.51 yards per attempt on the ground.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Chargers 22.16 vs Houston Texans 22.31

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-120
70% LAC
+2.5/+100
30% HOU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-162
69% LAC
+136
31% HOU

Total Pick Consensus

42.5/-112
20% UN
42.5/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

LAC
Team Stats
HOU
17
G
17
402
PTs
372
23.6
PPG
21.9
5511
YDS
5355
324.2
YDS/G
315
40
TD
42
2.4
TD/G
2.5
42.9
SC%
35.2
4.4
TO%
14.0

Defense/Offense

LAC
Team Stats
HOU
17
G
17
301
PTs
372
17.7
PPG
21.9
5514
YDS
5435
324.4
YDS/G
319.7
31
TD
35
1.8
TD/G
2.1
32.6
SC%
36.8
11.6
TO%
9.3

Offense/Defense

LAC
Rushing
HOU
17
G
17
463
ATT
447
1882
YDS
1938
110.7
Y/G
114.0
4.1
Y/A
4.3
17
TD
11
1
TD/G
0.6

Defense/Offense

LAC
Rushing
HOU
17
G
17
426
ATT
434
1997
YDS
1909
117.5
Y/G
112.3
4.7
Y/A
4.4
7
TD
15
0.4
TD/G
0.9

Offense/Defense

LAC
Passing
HOU
336
CMP
326
510
ATT
554
65.9
CMP%
58.8
213.5
YDS/GM
201
7.6
Y/A
6.8
6.6
NY/A
5.7
3
INT
19
44
SK
49

Defense/Offense

LAC
Passing
HOU
367
CMP
357
565
ATT
570
65.0
CMP%
62.6
206.9
YDS/GM
207.4
6.7
Y/A
6.9
5.8
NY/A
5.7
15
INT
12
46
SK
54

Offense/Defense

LAC
Special Teams
HOU
22
Punts/Ret
25
263
Punt/Yds
121
12.0
Punt/Y/R
4.8
22
Kick Off/Ret
42
582
Kick Off/Yds
1126
26.5
Kick Off/Y/rt
26.8

Defense/Offense

LAC
Special Teams
HOU
28
Punts/Ret
41
268
Punt/Yds
340
9.6
Punt/Y/R
8.3
26
Kick Off/Ret
23
743
Kick Off/Yds
722
28.6
Kick Off/Y/rt
31.4

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAC HOU
LAC HOU
Consensus
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-103)
-3.0 (-104)
+3.0 (-118)
-3.0 (-120)
+3.0 (-115)
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-104)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-117)
-3.0 (+100)
+3.0 (-120)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
LAC HOU
LAC HOU
Consensus
-155
+132
-156
+131
-162
+136
-162
+136
-152
+128
-154
+130
-155
+128
-155
+128
-160
+135
-155
+130
-160
+135
-160
+135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
42.5 (-113)
42.5 (-108)
42.5 (-109)
42.5 (-111)
42.5 (-112)
42.5 (-108)
42.5 (-108)
42.5 (-112)
42.5 (-115)
42.5 (-105)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-112)
42.5 (-109)
42.5 (-109)
42.5 (-112)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-115)
42.5 (-105)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)