Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 6, 2024

Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos Best Bet – 10/6/2024

Raiders vs Broncos Betting Odds

Spread: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Denver Broncos -3
Over/Under: 36
Moneyline: Las Vegas Raiders 130, Denver Broncos -150

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Las Vegas Raiders - 42% Las Vegas Raiders - 53%
Denver Broncos - 58% Denver Broncos - 47%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Gardner Minshew and the Las Vegas Raiders faceoff against Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. The Broncos enter the game as a favorite (-150) as the home team. Denver is currently favored by -3.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 36.0.

Denver's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 278 yards per game -- #6-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #5-least yards per game: 3.87. This Broncos run defense has been anchored by their linebackers, who grade out as the #8-best unit in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Denver given that the Raiders have had so little success running the ball this year, managing a mere 3.52 yards per carry (#6-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Broncos check in at #28 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 175 yards per game (#26 in football). Their run game has ranked #24 with 3.78 yards per attempt on the ground.

Las Vegas's biggest weakness has been their run defense, ranking #29 in the league while allowing 5.32 yards per attempt on the ground. In terms of their offense, the Raiders have ranked #16 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 240 yards per game (#7 in football). On the ground they've ranked #27 with 3.52 yards per carry.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction

Final Score: Las Vegas Raiders 20.7 vs Denver Broncos 19.36

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-115
69% LV
-3.0/-105
31% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+130
37% LV
-155
63% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

35.5/-105
13% UN
35.5/-115
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

LV
Team Stats
DEN
4
G
4
78
PTs
55
19.5
PPG
13.8
1155
YDS
1026
288.8
YDS/G
256.5
8
TD
5
2
TD/G
1.2
31.3
SC%
25.5
12.5
TO%
8.5

Defense/Offense

LV
Team Stats
DEN
4
G
4
97
PTs
62
24.2
PPG
15.5
1377
YDS
1064
344.2
YDS/G
266
9
TD
4
2.2
TD/G
1
41.3
SC%
28.6
4.3
TO%
14.3

Offense/Defense

LV
Rushing
DEN
4
G
4
84
ATT
108
305
YDS
442
76.3
Y/G
110.5
3.6
Y/A
4.1
4
TD
2
1
TD/G
0.5

Defense/Offense

LV
Rushing
DEN
4
G
4
107
ATT
103
550
YDS
425
137.5
Y/G
106.3
5.1
Y/A
4.1
3
TD
3
0.8
TD/G
0.8

Offense/Defense

LV
Passing
DEN
96
CMP
80
135
ATT
120
71.1
CMP%
66.7
212.5
YDS/GM
146
7.1
Y/A
5.6
5.7
NY/A
4.3
3
INT
2
14
SK
16

Defense/Offense

LV
Passing
DEN
88
CMP
83
129
ATT
138
68.2
CMP%
60.1
206.8
YDS/GM
159.8
6.9
Y/A
4.8
6.0
NY/A
4.5
2
INT
4
8
SK
4

Offense/Defense

LV
Special Teams
DEN
8
Punts/Ret
11
68
Punt/Yds
58
8.5
Punt/Y/R
5.3
7
Kick Off/Ret
8
190
Kick Off/Yds
191
27.1
Kick Off/Y/rt
23.9

Defense/Offense

LV
Special Teams
DEN
7
Punts/Ret
10
87
Punt/Yds
99
12.4
Punt/Y/R
9.9
9
Kick Off/Ret
3
228
Kick Off/Yds
69
25.3
Kick Off/Y/rt
23.0

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LV DEN
LV DEN
Consensus
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+1.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-106)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
LV DEN
LV DEN
Consensus
+103
-122
+128
-152
+100
-120
+130
-155
+106
-124
+130
-154
+100
-122
+125
-152
+105
-125
+135
-160
+100
-120
+125
-150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
39.5 (-108)
39.5 (-113)
36.0 (-109)
36.0 (-112)
39.5 (-110)
39.5 (-110)
35.5 (-115)
35.5 (-105)
39.5 (-105)
39.5 (-115)
35.5 (-115)
35.5 (-105)
39.0 (-112)
39.0 (-109)
36.0 (-109)
36.0 (-112)
39.0 (-110)
39.0 (-110)
36.0 (-110)
36.0 (-110)
37.0 (-110)
37.0 (-110)
36.0 (-110)
36.0 (-110)