On Christmas Day, the Kansas City Chiefs will visit the Pittsburgh Steelers in a rare Wednesday NFL game. Both of these teams have already locked up spots in the AFC playoffs and will look to earn a statement win in this contest. The Chiefs are favored by 2.5 points going into this matchup, while the total for the game has been set at 43 points.
Here, we will give you our best bet for Chiefs vs Steelers from Acrisure Stadium on Wednesday. Using our complex NFL betting models and our many years of experience betting on the NFL, we will give you a pick that you can trust ahead of the first of two games set to be held on the Christmas holiday.
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Chiefs Look to Lock Up First Round Bye
The Kansas City Chiefs have won 14 of their first 15 games to start the 2024 NFL season. They defeated the Houston Texans in Week 16 to improve to 14-1, moving them to within one win of securing home-field advantage through the playoffs in the AFC. This week, online sportsbooks have made the Chiefs a favorite to win once again, though they will need to do so in a hostile environment against a Steelers team desperate for a win.
For the Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes did not look overly compromised physically despite concerns going into their last game that his sprained ankle would keep him out of action. Mahomes did not throw an interception against the Texans and had a 15-yard rushing touchdown where he was able to showcase his health. This week, Mahomes is expected to play once again and the Chiefs will have some added motivation to win to get their star quarterback a week of rest in Week 18.
Steelers Aim to Snap Losing Streak
The Pittsburgh Steelers come into Christmas Day on a two-game losing streak. Pittsburgh lost in Week 16 against the Baltimore Ravens, losing 34-17 in Baltimore. The game was tied 17-17 deep into the third quarter, but the Steelers fell apart from there, giving up 17 unanswered points to their division rivals. Now the Steelers and Ravens both sit at 10-5 going into their respective Christmas games and it will be up to the Steelers to win at home if they want to avoid falling behind Baltimore.
Going into this game, the secondary of the Steelers could be without one of its top players. Joey Porter Jr. had to leave the game against the Ravens with a knee injury. With only a few days left to recover for this huge game against the Chiefs, the lack of Porter in the secondary for the Steelers is a real possibility coming into this contest, which could make it even harder than normal to stop Patrick Mahomes and the offense of the Chiefs.
Chiefs vs Steelers Prediction
We are going to lay the points with the Chiefs in the Chiefs vs Steelers matchup from Acrisure Stadium on Christmas Day. While Pittsburgh is a desperate team, they are struggling late in the season while Kansas City appears to be hitting its stride. Look for the Chiefs to lock up the top seed in the AFC, earning the right to rest their starters in Week 18, by winning this matchup against a fellow AFC playoff team.
