Chiefs +3.5 (-118) over Ravens
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- There is a huge experience edge for the Chiefs on this stage, as this is their sixth straight year in the AFC Championship Game.
- Lamar Jackson threw for just 152 yards last week. He will need to move the ball through the air in this game, but has never proven he can do that in the postseason.
On Sunday afternoon, the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens will square off in the AFC Championship Game from Baltimore. The Ravens come into this game as favorites and as the top-seed in the AFC. But the Kansas City Chiefs will look to prove that they can win on the road in the playoffs once again after doing so in Buffalo last week. Here, we make our pick for Chiefs vs Ravens in a legacy-defining game for both teams.
Our expectation for this game is for the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread as a 3.5-point underdog on the road. A big reason for that is the experience that the Chiefs have on this stage, something the Ravens do not have with their current nucleus. This is the sixth straight year that Patrick Mahomes has led the Chiefs to the AFC Championship Game, while it is the first time Lamar Jackson has reached this point.
On top of the Chiefs’ edge in experience, there is also the fact that we do not know if Lamar Jackson can deliver with his arm in a game like this one. Jackson did not have to throw the ball much against an overmatched Houston Texans team last week. Against a Chiefs team with the best scoring defense in football, Jackson may not be able to scramble and hand the ball off to achieve victory in this game.
Kansas City has been an underdog just twice this season, including last week’s win over the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional round. They have covered the spread in both of those spots, something we expect to happen again in this game, as the Ravens will experience some growing pains in their first AFC title game with Lamar Jackson as their starting quarterback.
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Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/OffenseNFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
Team Stats
Passing
KC
Passing
BAL
337 CMP 338 504 ATT 526 66.9 CMP% 64.3 224.1 YDS/GM 258.9 6.7 Y/A 7.4 5.8 NY/A 6.4 11 INT 8 35 SK 44
KC
Passing
BAL
303 CMP 276 464 ATT 405 65.3 CMP% 68.1 215 YDS/GM 245.6 6.9 Y/A 8.8 6.1 NY/A 8.1 10 INT 3 32 SK 22 Rushing
KC
Rushing
BAL
14 G 14 391 ATT 323 1570 YDS 1130 112.1 Y/G 80.7 4.0 Y/A 3.5 12 TD 12 0.9 TD/G 0.9
KC
Rushing
BAL
14 G 14 327 ATT 438 1287 YDS 2498 91.9 Y/G 178.4 3.9 Y/A 5.7 11 TD 17 0.8 TD/G 1.2 Special Teams
KC
Special Teams
BAL
26 Punts/Ret 21 260 Punt/Yds 163 10.0 Punt/Y/R 7.8 20 Kick Off/Ret 21 542 Kick Off/Yds 572 27.1 Kick Off/Y/rt 27.2
KC
Special Teams
BAL
22 Punts/Ret 15 227 Punt/Yds 174 10.3 Punt/Y/R 11.6 23 Kick Off/Ret 28 669 Kick Off/Yds 741 29.1 Kick Off/Y/rt 26.5 Scoring
KC
Scoring
BAL
14 G 14 12 RshTD 12 22 RecTD 24 29 FGM 27 33 FGA 31 23.5 Pts/G 23.7
KC
Scoring
BAL
14 G 14 11 RshTD 17 18 RecTD 34 20 FGM 19 27 FGA 27 18.5 Pts/G 29.9 Team Advanced Defense
KC
Defense
BAL
33.4% Bltz% 21.6% 9.2% Hrry% 6.6% 12.7% QB Hit% 10.1% 26.3% QB Prss% 23.0% Injuries
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
BJ Thompson DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Blaine Gabbert QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/26/24 Bryan Cook S Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Cam Jones LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Charles Omenihu DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Derrick Nnadi DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Ekow Boye-Doe CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Gerrit Prince TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Isiah Pacheco RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Jerick McKinnon RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Jody Fortson TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Joe Thuney G Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Joshua Williams CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Kadarius Toney WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Keith Taylor Jr. CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 L'Jarius Sneed CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/26/24 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Mike Edwards S Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Nazeeh Johnson S Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Prince Tega Wanogho OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Rashee Rice WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Skyy Moore WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Trent McDuffie CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Trey Smith G Scrambled Scrambled 01/26/24 Wanya Morris OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/25/24 Willie Gay LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
Andrew Vorhees OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Damarion Williams CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Daryl Worley DB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 David Ojabo OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Del'Shawn Phillips LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 J.K. Dobbins RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Josh Johnson QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Keaton Mitchell RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Kevon Seymour CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Malik Cunningham QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Malik Hamm OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Mark Andrews TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/26/24 Marlon Humphrey CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Nick Moore LS Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Rock Ya-Sin CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Sam Mustipher C Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Trayvon Mullen CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Tylan Wallace WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Tyus Bowser OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/28/24 Betting Trends
KC
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 22 Avg Score 33.33 14.33 Avg Opp Score 15.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 2-0-1 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 22.33 Avg Score 33.33 17.67 Avg Opp Score 15.33
KC
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 4-1-0 ATS W/L/P 4-1-0 21 Avg Score 31.2 16 Avg Opp Score 14.4 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 3-1-1 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 23.4 Avg Score 34.2 19.4 Avg Opp Score 19.4
KC
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 8-2-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 7-3-0 21.6 Avg Score 31.5 18.2 Avg Opp Score 16.9 AWAY HOME 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 7-3-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 23.1 Avg Score 32.1 20.5 Avg Opp Score 17 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
