Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers Pick & Prediction – 12/25/2024

Chiefs vs Steelers Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Wednesday the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) will battle the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5). Oddsmakers peg the Chiefs as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 56%, leaving the Steelers with a 44% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Chiefs -2.5 with a Game Total of 46.0.

Pittsburgh's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 335 yards per game -- #7-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #5-least yards per game: 4.09. This Steelers run defense has been aided by their safeties, who grade out as the #2-best unit in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Pittsburgh given that the Chiefs have had so little success running the ball this year, managing a mere 3.71 yards per carry (#5-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Steelers check in at #17 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 204 yards per game (#22 in football). Their run game has ranked #26 with 3.89 yards per attempt on the ground.

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 321 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #4-least yards per carry: 3.97. The Chiefs safeties have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #4-best in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular advantage for Kansas City given that the Steelers have struggled so much with their run game this year, managing just 3.89 yards per carry (#7-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #10 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 243 yards per game (#5 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.71 yards per carry.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 22.46 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 21.59

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