Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns Best Bet – 12/15/2024

Chiefs vs Browns Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

Sunday the Kansas City Chiefs (12-1) will battle the Cleveland Browns (3-10). Oddsmakers peg the Chiefs as the big favorite with an implied win probablity of 66%, leaving the Browns with a 34% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Chiefs -4.0 with a Game Total of 45.0.

Cleveland's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 3.45 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Cleveland has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.3 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Browns check in at #21 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 232 yards per game against Cleveland this year (#17 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #7 against them with 4.87 yards per ground attempt. This Browns pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 22 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Cleveland's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 9.54 yards per target (#1-worst in the league).

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #4 in the league while allowing just 322 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #3-least yards per carry: 3.8. The Chiefs safeties have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #5-best in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular advantage for Kansas City given that the Browns have struggled so much with their run game this year, managing just 3.45 yards per carry (#1-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #11 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 263 yards per game (#4 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.75 yards per carry.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 24.24 vs Cleveland Browns 21.05

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