Saturday’s NFL betting slate begins with an AFC Divisional Round game between the underdog Jacksonville Jaguars and the top seeded Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence will attempt to continue to guide his team to another Cinderella win against Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce and the Chiefs high powered offense. In this Jaguars vs Chiefs parlay, the star power on both sides will feature prominently.
The Jags came back from a 27-0 hole against the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card to advance to this spot to face the Chiefs. Jacksonville falling behind again against a rested and prepared Kansas City team filled with experience would probably spell the end of their season as they will need a four quarter effort to pull off the upset.
With the total set at 52, the expectation is there for a high scoring game with plenty of opportunities for player prop betting. Take a look at three of the most interesting plays on the card for Jaguars vs Chiefs in another edition of ATS’ NFL Same Game Parlay Previews.
| Pick 1 | Travis Kelce Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-110) |
| Pick 2 | Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-110) |
| Pick 3 | Travis Etienne Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110) |
| Jaguars vs Chiefs Parlay Odds | +400 (Bet $20 to win $80) |
NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| JAX | Passing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 205 | CMP | 218 |
| 334 | ATT | 330 |
| 61.4 | CMP% | 66.1 |
| 189.2 | YDS/GM | 212.2 |
| 6.8 | Y/A | 6.7 |
| 5.8 | NY/A | 6.1 |
| 9 | INT | 6 |
| 24 | SK | 19 |
Defense/Offense
| JAX | Passing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 266 | CMP | 239 |
| 375 | ATT | 344 |
| 70.9 | CMP% | 69.5 |
| 278.3 | YDS/GM | 226.5 |
| 8.5 | Y/A | 7.0 |
| 7.7 | NY/A | 6.2 |
| 5 | INT | 11 |
| 21 | SK | 22 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| JAX | Rushing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | 10 |
| 246 | ATT | 236 |
| 1118 | YDS | 853 |
| 101.6 | Y/G | 85.3 |
| 4.5 | Y/A | 3.6 |
| 10 | TD | 8 |
| 0.9 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
| JAX | Rushing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | 10 |
| 344 | ATT | 289 |
| 1490 | YDS | 1114 |
| 135.5 | Y/G | 111.4 |
| 4.3 | Y/A | 3.9 |
| 14 | TD | 11 |
| 1.3 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
| JAX | Special Teams | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Punts/Ret | 14 |
| 232 | Punt/Yds | 164 |
| 15.5 | Punt/Y/R | 11.7 |
| 19 | Kick Off/Ret | 10 |
| 498 | Kick Off/Yds | 293 |
| 26.2 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 29.3 |
Defense/Offense
| JAX | Special Teams | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Punts/Ret | 17 |
| 169 | Punt/Yds | 199 |
| 9.4 | Punt/Y/R | 11.7 |
| 5 | Kick Off/Ret | 11 |
| 149 | Kick Off/Yds | 275 |
| 29.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 25.0 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
| JAX | Scoring | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | 10 |
| 10 | RshTD | 8 |
| 11 | RecTD | 14 |
| 15 | FGM | 14 |
| 16 | FGA | 18 |
| 18.9 | Pts/G | 19.1 |
Defense/Offense
| JAX | Scoring | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | 10 |
| 14 | RshTD | 11 |
| 23 | RecTD | 15 |
| 20 | FGM | 18 |
| 23 | FGA | 20 |
| 28.7 | Pts/G | 24.0 |
Team Advanced Defense
| JAX | Defense | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | Bltz% | 34.7% |
| 7.0% | Hrry% | 10.1% |
| 6.1% | QB Hit% | 13.6% |
| 17.3% | QB Prss% | 27.0% |
Injuries
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bartch | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Brandon Scherff | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Cam Robinson | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Dawuane Smoot | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| De'Shaan Dixon | OLB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Gregory Junior | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Jamal Agnew | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Jeremiah Ledbetter | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Jordan Smith | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Kendric Pryor | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Luke Fortner | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Montaric Brown | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Ross Matiscik | LS | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Shaquill Griffin | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reiter | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Cornell Powell | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Darian Kinnard | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Frank Clark | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/19/23 |
| Jody Fortson | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Jordan Franks | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Justyn Ross | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| L'Jarius Sneed | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/23 |
| Malik Herring | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Marcus Kemp | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Shane Buechele | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
| Skyy Moore | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/23 |
| Tershawn Wharton | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/23 |
Betting Trends
| JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 27.33 | Avg Score | 27.33 |
| 16.33 | Avg Opp Score | 15.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 28.67 | Avg Score | 25.67 |
| 9.33 | Avg Opp Score | 14.67 |
| JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 28.2 | Avg Score | 29.2 |
| 17.2 | Avg Opp Score | 19.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 23.4 | Avg Score | 24.8 |
| 19 | Avg Opp Score | 15.6 |
| JAX | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 26.3 | Avg Score | 27.3 |
| 22.2 | Avg Opp Score | 19.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 23.5 | Avg Score | 26.7 |
| 24.6 | Avg Opp Score | 21.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Pick 1: Travis Kelce Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Travis Kelce has been a monster playoff performer throughout his career and should be a focal point of the Chiefs offensive game plan against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Kelce has six consecutive playoff games with 90+ receiving yards and that was while he was sharing much of the pass catching duties with Tyreek Hill. Now that he is the lone big dog in the Chiefs aerial attack, Kelce should be good for another day near the 100 yard mark.
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Pick 2: Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-110)
The second leg of this Same Game Parlay doubles down on Kelce having a big game against the Jaguars. Kelce’s targets increased to 10 in two of the Chiefs final four games of the regular season and with more targets comes more catches.
Kelce had six catches on seven targets in Week 10 against the Jags. With Jacksonville ranking last in defending tight ends per Football Outsiders, utilizing Kelce is something the Chiefs likely have planned in their game plan over the bye week and a big day with plenty of targets and catches is coming.
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Pick 3: Travis Etienne Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Despite the Jaguars playing from four scores down, Travis Etienne kept getting touches in the ground game and picking up first down yardage in the win over the Chargers. Etienne finished with 109 yards on 20 carries in an effort that helped his team complete one of the biggest comebacks in NFL playoff history.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense is better at stopping the run than the lowly Chargers but gave up 45 yards to Etienne on just 11 carries in their regular season meeting. If Etienne continues to get close to 20 rushing attempts as he has been of late, he should easily clear a fairly low 68.5 number to cash his rushing yardage prop.
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Jaguars vs Chiefs Preview
The Jaguars look to continue their remarkable second half of the season turnaround with an upset in the rematch against a Chiefs team they lost to in a 27-17 Week 10 meeting. Patrick Mahomes dominated the Jags defense in that game, throwing touchdown passes to four different receivers along with putting up 331 passing yards.
The Chiefs were dominant this season but weren’t a great betting team as a favorite in mostly all of their games. Kansas City went 7-10 against the spread and have a tall task of covering an 8.5 spread as favorites against Jacksonville.
Games at Arrowhead Stadium haven’t been as high scoring as expected this season. The Under is 6-2 in Kansas City’s home games.
Trevor Lawrence will need to continue his strong play from the second half in the win against the Chargers and avoid the mental miscues from the first half if he wants to beat the Chiefs. Lawrence threw for four touchdown passes in the comeback over the Bolts but his four first half interceptions are a concern as he steps into a hostile road environment.
Jacksonville will need to do a better job of psss blocking in the rematch with Kansas City to give Lawrence a chance to succeed under center. The Chiefs sacked Lawrence five times in Week 10, a number that needs to come way down for the Jags this Saturday.
Nobody is better after a bye week than Kansas City head coach Andy Reid. In 30 combined regular season and postseason bye weeks, Reid has a winning percentage of 87.1%. Expect another strong gameplan from Reid and the KC coaching staff after the added week to prepare.
If the Chiefs beat the Jags, they will continue a trend of dominant success in the playoffs. The Chiefs are looking to play in their fifth consecutive AFC Championship Game with a win on Saturday.
