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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Prediction & Picks – 12/8/2024
Jaguars vs Titans Betting Odds
Spread: | Jacksonville Jaguars 3.5, Tennessee Titans -3.5 |
Over/Under: | 39.5 |
Moneyline: | Jacksonville Jaguars 165, Tennessee Titans -190 |
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Jacksonville Jaguars - 37% | Jacksonville Jaguars - 48% |
Tennessee Titans - 63% | Tennessee Titans - 52% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Betting Preview
Sunday the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) will battle the Tennessee Titans (3-9). Oddsmakers peg the Titans as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 63%, leaving the Jaguars with a 37% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Titans -3.5 with a Game Total of 39.5.
Tennessee's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 317 yards per game -- #2-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #1-least yards per game: 196. To give credit where credit is due, their run defense has also been terrific, checking in at #9 in yards per carry (4.36). The Tennessee Titans pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, who have managed just 126 yards per game against them (#30-least in football). Tennessee's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #3 unit in the NFL in this regard. This presents a decided advantage for Tennessee given that the Jaguars haven't had much success throwing the ball this year, managing a mere 6.73 yards per target (good for #13-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Titans check in at #31 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 197 yards per game (#31 in football). Their run game has ranked #22 with 3.96 yards per attempt on the ground.
Jacksonville's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 419 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #2-most yards per game: 282. The Jaguars pass defense has been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing running backs, allowing them to rack up 49 yards per game (#1-worst). Jacksonville's worst position group in coverage has been their safeties, which rank just #32 in the league in locking down route-runners. Jacksonville's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive tackles, which check in as just the #30-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Jaguars have ranked #25 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 211 yards per game (#24 in football). On the ground they've ranked #8 with 4.66 yards per carry.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Prediction
Final Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 18.46 vs Tennessee Titans 19.57
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