Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/13/2024

Jaguars vs Bears Betting Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Sunday the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) will battle the Chicago Bears (3-2). Oddsmakers peg the Bears as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 55%, leaving the Jaguars with a 45% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Bears -2.5 with a Game Total of 45.0.

Chicago's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #31 in football with a low 3.31 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Chicago has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.4 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bears check in at #9 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 191 yards per game against Chicago this year (#25 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #13 against them with 4.89 yards per ground attempt. This Bears defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 6.39 yards per target (#1-best in the league). A strong argument could be made that their worst position group is their linebackers, who rank just #27 in the league when it comes to run-stopping.

Jacksonville's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 413 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #1-most yards per game: 304. The Jaguars pass defense has been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing running backs, allowing them to rack up 59 yards per game (#2-worst). Jacksonville's worst position group in coverage has been their safeties, which rank just #32 in the league in locking down route-runners. Jacksonville's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive tackles, which check in as just the #30-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Jaguars have ranked #15 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 218 yards per game (#19 in football). On the ground they've ranked #2 with 5.81 yards per carry.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears Prediction

Final Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 23.9 vs Chicago Bears 20.81

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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