Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Preview – 10/27/2024

Colts vs Texans Betting Odds

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Betting Preview

Anthony Richardson and the Indianapolis Colts faceoff against C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans. The Texans enter the game as a big favorite (-230) as the home team. Houston is currently favored by -5.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.

Indianapolis's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 404 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #4-most yards per game: 250. The Colts have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 9.16 yards per target (#1-worst). Indianapolis's worst position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank just #23 in the league in locking down route-runners. Indianapolis's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their linebackers, which check in as just the #28-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Colts have ranked #19 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 184 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #16 with 4.3 yards per carry.

Houston's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #6 in the NFL at 312 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Texans 227 yards per game through the air ranks #4-best in football this year. When it comes to their defense, the Texans check in at #3 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 187 yards per game against Houston this year (#29 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #25 against them with 4.43 yards per ground attempt. This Texans defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 24 yards per game (#1-best in the league). A strong argument could be made that their worst position group is their defensive tackles, who rank just #27 in the league when it comes to run-stopping.

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Prediction

Final Score: Indianapolis Colts 21.01 vs Houston Texans 25.58

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