Indianapolis Colts
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Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Picks 12/15/2024
Colts vs Broncos Betting Odds
| Spread: | Indianapolis Colts 3.5, Denver Broncos -3.5 |
| Over/Under: | 44 |
| Moneyline: | Indianapolis Colts 170, Denver Broncos -195 |
Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Win Probabilities
| Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
| Indianapolis Colts - 36% | Indianapolis Colts - 35% |
| Denver Broncos - 64% | Denver Broncos - 66% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Betting Preview
Their last head-to-head matchup was a low scoring slugfest. In Week 5 of 2022 the Colts won on the road beating the Broncos 12-9. Indianapolis entered that game as a 3.0 point road underog. They had an implied win probablity of only 38% before pulling of the upset. The Game Total for that game was 42.0 and which the Under hit.
Indianapolis's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #32 in the league with a mere 275 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 194 yards per game. In terms of their defense, the Colts have ranked #30 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 252 yards per game through the air against them (#6 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 with 4.56 yards per carry. Indianapolis has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 6.09 yards per target (#10-best). Indianapolis has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.07 yards per target (#2-worst).
Denver's primary advantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a scant 3.81 yards per attempt on the ground -- #4-best in the NFL. This Broncos run defense has been anchored by their defensive tackles, who grade out as the #7-best unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Broncos check in at #23 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 223 yards per game (#22 in football). Their run game has ranked #16 with 4.11 yards per attempt on the ground.
Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction
Final Score: Indianapolis Colts 19.11 vs Denver Broncos 23.3
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Indianapolis Colts
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