Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Preview – 12/1/2024

Texans vs Jaguars Betting Odds

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans faceoff against Mac Jones and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans enter the game as a big favorite (-220) despite being on the road. Houston is currently favored by -5.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 43.5.

Jacksonville's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 429 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #1 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #1-most yards per game (290) against the Jaguars. Opposing running backs have given the Jaguars pass defense the most trouble, posting 53 yards per game against them (#1-worst in football). Jacksonville's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their safeties, who rank just #32 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. Jacksonville's defensive tackles are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #3-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Jaguars check in at #25 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 205 yards per game (#27 in football). Their run game has ranked #7 with 4.77 yards per attempt on the ground.

Houston's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 319 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #8-least yards per game: 214. That's not to take anything away from their run defense, though, which checks in at #8 in yards per carry (4.29). The Texans have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to a 60.8% completion rate (#1-lowest). Houston's best position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank #7 in the league in locking down route-runners. Houston's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #5-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Texans have ranked #15 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 232 yards per game (#16 in football). On the ground they've ranked #14 with 4.25 yards per carry.

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

Final Score: Houston Texans 24.94 vs Jacksonville Jaguars 17.87

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