Texans +9 (-110) over Ravens
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- Baltimore beat Houston 25-9 in the first week of this season, but that was CJ Stroud’s first NFL start and he has improved by leaps and bounds since then.
- Lamar Jackson’s struggles in the postseason are well-documented and it is not a given that Baltimore cruises in this game.
The first game of the Divisional playoff round in the NFL this season is Texans vs Ravens from Baltimore on Saturday afternoon. Houston comes into this game off of a Wild Card win over Cleveland, while the Ravens enter this game off of a first-round bye. Here, we break down this matchup between the top-seed in the AFC and the fourth-seed, in a matchup of two explosive quarterbacks.
In this matchup, we like the Houston Texans to cover the spread as nine-point underdogs. A big reason for that is the play of Texans quarterback CJ Stroud. Stroud will end up as this year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year barring a massive shock. More importantly, his ability to make plays vertically does not allow opposing defenses to pack the box and play for short passes only, making Houston a much more dangerous offensive team than most teams with young quarterbacks.
On the other side, there are legitimate questions about how Lamar Jackson is going to perform in the postseason. Jackson has missed the end of the last two seasons for the Ravens and struggled in the playoffs before that, with his lone playoff win coming against a Tennessee Titans team with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback. It will be very interesting to see how Jackson performs in this Texans vs Ravens matchup, when we have seen him falter in the playoffs before.
It is worth noting when betting this game that the Ravens did beat up on the Texans in Baltimore in Week 1 of the regular season. However, that was to be expected in Stroud’s first career start in the NFL. With Stroud having a full season of NFL experience under his belt since then, we expect a much better version of the Houston quarterback and for the Texans to cover the spread to kick off the Divisional playoff weekend.
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Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/Offense Offense/Defense Defense/OffenseNFL
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
Team Stats
Passing
HOU
Passing
BAL
298 CMP 338 471 ATT 526 63.3 CMP% 64.3 212.8 YDS/GM 258.9 7.1 Y/A 7.4 5.8 NY/A 6.4 9 INT 8 46 SK 44
HOU
Passing
BAL
271 CMP 276 470 ATT 405 57.7 CMP% 68.1 196.9 YDS/GM 245.6 6.5 Y/A 8.8 5.4 NY/A 8.1 19 INT 3 45 SK 22 Rushing
HOU
Rushing
BAL
14 G 14 371 ATT 323 1560 YDS 1130 111.4 Y/G 80.7 4.2 Y/A 3.5 14 TD 12 1 TD/G 0.9
HOU
Rushing
BAL
14 G 14 344 ATT 438 1478 YDS 2498 105.6 Y/G 178.4 4.3 Y/A 5.7 7 TD 17 0.5 TD/G 1.2 Special Teams
HOU
Special Teams
BAL
38 Punts/Ret 21 319 Punt/Yds 163 8.4 Punt/Y/R 7.8 19 Kick Off/Ret 21 580 Kick Off/Yds 572 30.5 Kick Off/Y/rt 27.2
HOU
Special Teams
BAL
21 Punts/Ret 15 105 Punt/Yds 174 5.0 Punt/Y/R 11.6 33 Kick Off/Ret 28 861 Kick Off/Yds 741 26.1 Kick Off/Y/rt 26.5 Scoring
HOU
Scoring
BAL
14 G 14 14 RshTD 12 17 RecTD 24 33 FGM 27 39 FGA 31 23.4 Pts/G 23.7
HOU
Scoring
BAL
14 G 14 7 RshTD 17 27 RecTD 34 21 FGM 19 23 FGA 27 21.4 Pts/G 29.9 Team Advanced Defense
HOU
Defense
BAL
23.0% Bltz% 21.6% 8.0% Hrry% 6.6% 8.7% QB Hit% 10.1% 23.9% QB Prss% 23.0% Injuries
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
Andrew Beck FB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Blake Cashman LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Case Keenum QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Christian Harris LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Denzel Perryman LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Dieter Eiselen G Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 DJ Scaife C Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Dylan Horton DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Eric Murray S Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Eric Saubert TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 George Fant OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Grayland Arnold S Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Hassan Ridgeway DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jared Wayne WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jarrett Patterson G Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jerry Hughes DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jesse Matthews WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jimmie Ward S Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 John Metchie III WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Jonathan Greenard DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Kendrick Green C Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Kenyon Green G Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Kilian Zierer OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Kris Boyd CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Maliek Collins DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 M.J. Stewart S Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Nick Broeker G Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Noah Brown WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Robert Woods WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Scott Quessenberry C Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Sheldon Rankins DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Tank Dell WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Tavierre Thomas CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Teagan Quitoriano TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Teair Tart DT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Troy Hairston FB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Tytus Howard OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Will Anderson Jr. DE Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24
Name
Position
Injury
Status
Updated
Andrew Vorhees OL Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Ar'Darius Washington S Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Damarion Williams CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Daryl Worley DB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 David Ojabo OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Del'Shawn Phillips LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Devin Duvernay WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Jadeveon Clowney OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 J.K. Dobbins RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Josh Johnson QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Keaton Mitchell RB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Kevon Seymour CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu OT Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Malik Cunningham QB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Malik Hamm OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Malik Harrison LB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Mark Andrews TE Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Marlon Humphrey CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Nick Moore LS Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Odafe Oweh OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Sam Mustipher C Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Trayvon Mullen CB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Tylan Wallace WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Tyus Bowser OLB Scrambled Scrambled 01/20/24 Zay Flowers WR Scrambled Scrambled 01/18/24 Betting Trends
HOU
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-1-0 31.33 Avg Score 33 12 Avg Opp Score 18.33 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 16 Avg Score 34.33 21.67 Avg Opp Score 22.33
HOU
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 4-1-0 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 27 Avg Score 31.8 17.6 Avg Opp Score 18.6 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 18.2 Avg Score 33.6 21.4 Avg Opp Score 24
HOU
Betting Trends
BAL
OVERALL OVERALL 7-3-0 Win/Loss/Tie 8-2-0 6-4-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 23.5 Avg Score 31.2 20.2 Avg Opp Score 18.3 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 7-3-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 20.7 Avg Score 30 21.5 Avg Opp Score 17.6 Head to Head
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