Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Divisional Playoff Prediction – 1/18/2025

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds

In the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs, the Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Houston Texans. Houston got a win to open Wild Card weekend and will look to pull off a significant upset in this game, while Kansas City opens its postseason after a first-round bye. Kansas City is a 7.5-point favorite going into this game, as oddsmakers have set the total at 42.5 points.

Before Texans vs Chiefs kicks off from Arrowhead Stadium, continue reading to get our preview for this AFC Divisional playoff contest. Here, you will find our keys to this game between the winners of the AFC West and AFC South. You will also find our best bet for this game, as we have run our NFL betting models and have used our knowledge of these teams to identify where the value is in the betting markets for the game.

Texans Get Set For Huge Divisional Round Test

The Houston Texans fell behind 6-0 at home against the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. But Houston roared back from that early deficit, outscoring Los Angeles 32-6 over the remainder of the game. This week, NFL betting sites have made Houston a sizable underdog, but they will look to win as a dog for the second week in a row to get to the AFC Championship Game.

If the Texans are going to win this game against the Chiefs as a huge underdog, they are going to need to do a better job of taking care of the football than they did against the Chargers. Houston committed three turnovers against the Chargers, but they forced four turnovers to make up for that. Against a Chiefs team that is much better at taking care of the football than the Chargers, Houston won’t be able to afford to give the ball away.

Chiefs Look to Take Care Of Business At Home

The Kansas City Chiefs dropped their final regular season game to the Denver Broncos, as they rested their starters having already locked up the top seed in the AFC. Kansas City went 15-2 in the regular season even with that Week 18 loss, going a perfect 8-0 at home during the year. Now the Chiefs will put their perfect home record on the line against a Texans team that they have already defeated this season.

In that win over the Texans, Kansas City had a tough time covering Tank Dell, who had 98 yards and a touchdown for Houston. But Dell is out for the season with a knee injury, which should make defending the pass an easier task for the Chiefs. With defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo having a history of shutting down opponents in the postseason, the Chiefs should have the upper hand on the defensive side of the ball here.

Texans vs Chiefs Prediction

In the Texans vs Chiefs matchup in the Divisional round of the playoffs, we will take the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. The Chiefs have a significant rest advantage going into this game, while their defense should benefit greatly from the Texans missing so many key weapons at wide receiver. Look for the Chiefs to glide into the AFC Championship Game once again with a convincing victory at home.

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