The upcoming Houston Roughnecks vs Arlington Renegades game on Sunday, April 6, 2025, at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is a crucial encounter for both teams as they seek a division win in Week 2 of the 2025 UFL season. With each team suffering opposite results to open their season, both teams will have different motivations for picking up a win in this in-state rivalry game.
Houston Roughnecks vs Arlington Renegades Game Preview
In Week 1, the Houston Roughnecks faced a challenging opener against the St. Louis Battlehawks, resulting in a 31-6 defeat. The Roughnecks could not get anything going through the air in that loss, passing for just 89 yards as a team between quarterbacks Nolan Henderson and Anthony Brown. Even more troubling was the fact that Henderson and Brown had 74 of the team’s 94 rushing yards from the quarterback position, a sign that their running backs didn’t give them much of anything.
The Arlington Renegades got off to a strong start to their season, beating the San Antonio Brahmas 33-9. Quarterback Luis Perez delivered a solid performance, completing 20 of 25 passes for 164 yards, though he did throw an interception. Fortunately, the Arlington defense gave Perez plenty of margin for error, as they held San Antonio to just three points until about midway through the fourth quarter when San Antonio finally scored their first touchdown of the day.
Betting Insights
Analyzing the betting landscape for this matchup provides several key points:
- Point Spread: The Arlington Renegades are favored by 9 points over the Houston Roughnecks at Caesars Sportsbook. This margin reflects Arlington’s home-field advantage and their more consistent offensive performance in Week 1.
- Over/Under: The total points line is set at 40. Considering Houston’s offensive struggles in their opening games, it will be interesting to see where the total lands.
Additional considerations for bettors include:
- Quarterback Play: Luis Perez’s efficient passing in Week 1 suggests he could exploit Houston’s secondary, which allowed Manny Wilkins of St. Louis to complete over 75% of his passes in Week 1.
- Run Defense: Houston struggled to get anything going on the ground in Week 1, which could help Arlington get stops throughout this game.
Houston Roughnecks vs Arlington Renegades Prediction
Renegades -9 (-110) over Roughnecks
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- Houston only got 20 yards from rushers that weren’t their quarterbacks in Week 1.
- Arlington’s defense at home should have another strong game after shutting down the Brahmas in Week 1.
Given the performances in Week 1, this game could be lopsided. The Renegades’ passing game, led by Luis Perez, appears more polished and could pose challenges for the Roughnecks’ defense. Meanwhile, Houston looked horrible offensively to open their season and that could continue into Week 2 on Sunday.
Considering Arlington’s home-field advantage and their more consistent offensive display in the season opener, they hold the edge in this matchup. Bettors should weigh these factors carefully, but the Renegades are positioned to a home victory.
